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The Policy Mix and Macroeconomic Adjustment in the Euro Area

Mortensen, Jorgen, Alcidi Cinzia, (2012), ‘The Policy Mix and Macroeconomic Adjustment in the Euro Area’, www.ceps.be, 16 Οκτωβρίου. Αccording to the most recent IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO),1 the recovery has suffered new setbacks and uncertainty weighs heavily on the future. The IMF forecast, unveiled in Tokyo ahead of the IMF-World Bank 2012 Annual Meetings last week, sees only a gradual strengthening of activity from the relatively disappointing pace of …Read More

The European Central Bank’s New Bond-Buying Program: Implications for Italy

Lombardi, Domenico, (2012), ‘The European Central Bank’s New Bond-Buying Program: Implications for Italy’, www.brookings.edu, 11 Σεπτεμβρίου. Τoday’s meeting between Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is a further sign of the increasingly important role of the Eurotower in dealing with the crisis in Europe.  

Intra-euro rebalancing is inevitable but insufficient

Darvas, Zsolt, (2012), ‘Intra-euro rebalancing is inevitable but insufficient’, www.bruegel.org, 5 Σεπτεμβρίου. Greece, Portugal and Spain face a serious risk of external solvency due to their close to minus 100 percent of GDP net negative international investment positions, which are largely composed of debt. The perceived inability of these countries to rebalance their external positions is a major root of the euro crisis.  

External Imbalances in the Euro Area

IMF (2012), ‘External Imbalances in the Euro Area’, European and Western Hemisphere Departments, IMF Working Papers, N. 12/36. The paper examines the extent to which current account imbalances of euro area countries are related to intra-euro area factors and to external trade shocks. We argue that the traditional explanations for the rising imbalances are correct, but are incomplete. We uncover a large impact of declines in export competitiveness and asymmetric …Read More

Argentina and Greece: More similarities than differences in the initial conditions

Kiguel, Miguel, (2011) ‘Argentina and Greece: More similarities than differences in the initial conditions’,  www.voxeu.org, 17 Αυγούστου. A decade ago Argentina was in the midst of a severe economic crisis. This column argues that the episode offers lessons for the Eurozone today. Unless Greece takes major steps to improve its competitiveness and growth prospects, the country has little hope to get out of this crisis.

To stabilize the Eurozone, the ECB must set aside its fears and start buying governments’ bonds

De Grauwe, Paul, (2012), ‘To stabilize the Eurozone, the ECB must set aside its fears and start buying governments’ bonds’, blogs.lse.ac.uk, 31 Ιουλίου. Government bond markets in Europe remain volatile, with Spanish and Italian bond rates at near unsustainable levels. Paul De Grauwe argues that the only institution that can stabilize these markets by buying government bonds is the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB must now overcome its risk averse nature …Read More

Thanks to the ECB

Wyplosz, Charles, (2012), ‘Thanks to the ECB’ ,www.voxeu.org, 30 Ιουλίου. Financial markets once again pushed Eurozone leaders to act. European Central Bank President Draghi recently promised to “do whatever it takes”. This column argues that Draghi made an implicit commitment to act as lender of last resort to Eurozone governments. This means optimism may be justified – if only because it suggests that the Eurozone has a great central banker …Read More