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Does an Austere Europe have a future?

O’Sullivan, Michael, (2012), ‘Does an Austere Europe have a future?’, Ελληνική Επιθεώρηση Πολιτικής Επιστήμης, Τεύχος 39, Μάιος-Νοέμβριος. The euro-zone crisis is a profoundly structural one in that it has unmasked the inappropriateness of the monetary union for certain member states and the complacency of its governing class. The aims and raison d’être of the European project must now be rethought in an original way and communicated in a clear way …Read More

Financial Crises in Iceland and Ireland: Does European Union and Euro Membership Matter?

Thorhallsson, Baldur, Kirby, Peadar, (2012),‘Financial Crises in Iceland and Ireland: Does European Union and Euro Membership Matter?’,  Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 50, Issue 5,p.p. 801–818. The article examines the claims of the small states literature on the importance of alliance formation. It applies it to the case of Ireland and Iceland and asks whether membership of the EU and euro in Ireland and the absence of these in …Read More

Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe

Knedlik, Tobias, Von Sshweinit, Gregor, (2012),‘Macroeconomic Imbalances as Indicators for Debt Crises in Europe’, Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol.50, Issue 5, p.p.726–745. European authorities and scholars published proposals on which indicators of macroeconomic imbalances might be used to uncover risks for the sustainability of public debt in the European Union. In this article the ability of four proposed sets of indicators to send early warnings of debt crises is …Read More

Mispricing of Sovereign Risk and Macroeconomic Stability in the Eurozone

De Grauwe, Paul, (2012),‘Mispricing of Sovereign Risk and Macroeconomic Stability in the Eurozone’, Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 50, Issue 6, p.p.866–880. The economic and financial crisis and its aftermath have put economic and monetary union (EMU) to the test and exposed gaps in its initial policy architecture. Collective rules of fiscal discipline have proven difficult fully to enforce and excessive public indebtedness has been confirmed as a potential …Read More

The EMU Debt Crisis: Early Lessons and Reforms

Buti, Marco, Carnot, Nicolas (2012), ‘The EMU Debt Crisis: Early Lessons and Reforms’, Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 50, Issue 6, p.p. 881-898. The economic and financial crisis and its aftermath have put economic and monetary union (EMU) to the test and exposed gaps in its initial policy architecture. Collective rules of fiscal discipline have proven difficult fully to enforce and excessive public indebtedness has been confirmed as a …Read More

The Interplay of Economic Reforms and Monetary Policy: The Case of the Eurozone

Drudi, Francesco, Durre, Alain, Paolo Mongelli, Francesco, (2012),‘The Interplay of Economic Reforms and Monetary Policy: The Case of the Eurozone’, Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 50, Issue 6, p.p. 881–898. The world has been struck by a mutating systemic financial crisis that is unprecedented in terms of financial losses and fiscal costs, geographic reach, and speed and synchronization. The crisis from August 2007 to date can be divided into …Read More

External Imbalances in the Euro Area

IMF (2012), ‘External Imbalances in the Euro Area’, European and Western Hemisphere Departments, IMF Working Papers, N. 12/36. The paper examines the extent to which current account imbalances of euro area countries are related to intra-euro area factors and to external trade shocks. We argue that the traditional explanations for the rising imbalances are correct, but are incomplete. We uncover a large impact of declines in export competitiveness and asymmetric …Read More

Sovereign spreads in the eurozone: which prospects for a Eurobond?

Favero, Carlo, Missale, Alessandro, (2012),‘Sovereign spreads in the eurozone: which prospects for a Eurobond?’, Economic Policy, Vol. 27, Issue 70, p.p. 231 – 273. In this paper, we provide new evidence on the determinants of sovereign yield spreads and ‘market sentiment’ effects in the eurozone in order to evaluate the rationale for a common Eurobond jointly guaranteed by eurozone Member States. We find that default risk is the main driver …Read More

A simple and flexible alternative to Stability and Growth Pact deficit ceilings. Is it at hand?

Muscatelli, Vito & Piergiovanna, Natale, (2012), ‘A simple and flexible alternative to Stability and Growth Pact deficit ceilings. Is it at hand?’, European Journal of Political Economy,Volume 28, Issue 1, p.p. 14–26. We model a monetary union where fiscal discretion generates excessive debt accumulation in steady state and inefficiently delayed debt adjustment following shocks. By setting a debt target and raising the political cost of deviating from the optimal pace …Read More

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010; Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts,

IMF, (2012), Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010; Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts, IMF Working Papers, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, Washington. This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt …Read More