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The global economy hit by higher uncertainty

Hites Ahir, Nicholas Bloom and Davide Furceri, (2019), “The global economy hit by higher uncertainty”, VoxEU, 11 May

According to the latest IMF projections, the global economy is now projected to grow at 3.3% in 2019, down from 3.6% in 2018. This is partly due to rising uncertainty in many parts of the world. This column shows how these statements are in line with the latest reading of the World Uncertainty Index, which shows a sharp increase in the first quarter of 2019. The increase in uncertainty observed in the first quarter could be enough to knock up to 0.5% of global growth over the course of the year.

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