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On the credit and exchange rate channels of central bank asset purchases in a monetary union

Matthieu Darracq Pariès and Niki Papadopoulou, (2019), “On the credit and exchange rate channels of central bank asset purchases in a monetary union “, ECB Working Paper Series No 2259, March Through the euro area crisis, financial fragmentation across jurisdictions became a prime concern for the single monetary policy. The ECB broadened the scope of its instruments and enacted a series of non-standard measures to engineer an appropriate degree of …Read More

The Euro Area: Creating a Stronger Economic Ecosystem

Christine Lagarde, (2019), “The Euro Area: Creating a Stronger Economic Ecosystem”, IMF, 28 March Twenty years ago, European countries did not just plant one tree, they planted an entire forest—creating a new economic ecosystem known as the euro area. The fundamental strength of that system lies in its interconnectedness and diversity—a combination that can help Europe to fully unlock its immense economic potential. Relevant Posts Jan Priewe, (2019), «Could Europe …Read More

The European Union’s response to the trade crisis

Uri Dadush and Guntram Wolff, (2019), “The European Union’s response to the trade crisis”, Bruegel, Policy Contribution, Issue No 5, March The global trading system, a source of prosperity, is under attack on various fronts. The causes run deep and require a strategic response from the European Union and from the main trading nations. The future of the system hinges on the answer to three questions, and the scenarios associated …Read More

The Eurozone’s Real Weakness

Lucrezia Reichlin, (2019), “The Eurozone’s Real Weakness”, Project Syndicate, 28 March A new eurozone crisis would most likely have a less uneven effect than in 2008 or 2011, not least because its largest economies are currently weak. But if a recession hits, policymakers will find it hard to mount an effective response. Relevant Posts Jan Priewe, (2019), «Could Europe face the next recession?», Social Europe, 19 March Paul Taylor, (2019), «Why …Read More

Why non-performing loans are still putting the European Banking Union at risk

Corrado Macchiarelli, Renato Giacon, Andromachi Georgosouli and Mara Monti, (2019), “Why non-performing loans are still putting the European Banking Union at risk”, LSE EUROPP, 27 March Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratios in countries like Italy, Portugal and Spain have started to decrease sharply, but as Corrado Macchiarelli, Renato Giacon, Andromachi Georgosouli and Mara Monti write, this has received relatively little media attention in comparison to previous fears over the accumulation of …Read More

Restoring trust in Europe—wage rises and workplace democracy

Steve Coulter, (2019), “Restoring trust in Europe—wage rises and workplace democracy”, Social Europe, 27 March Europe’s economy has been expanding for six straight years and more people are getting jobs. The crisis is fading from memory and austerity is easing off. So why aren’t Europeans happier? And why, in all but three countries surveyed recently by Eurobarometer (Figure 1), is trust in the European Union below what it was before …Read More

Monetary policy in times of uncertainty: a reappraisal of the Brainard principle

Giuseppe Ferrero, Mario Pietrunti and Andrea Tiseno, (2019), “Monetary policy in times of uncertainty: a reappraisal of the Brainard principle”, VoxEU, 21 March Dealing with uncertainty about the state of the economy is one of the main challenges facing monetary policymakers. In recent years there has been an extensive debate on the value of some of the deep parameters driving the economy, such as the natural rate of interest and …Read More

How the story of Britain and Europe began: Was Brexit inevitable?

Lindsay Aqui, (2019), “How the story of Britain and Europe began: Was Brexit inevitable?”, LSE EUROPP, 26 March How did the story of Britain and Europe begin? Was Brexit inevitable? In this blog, Lindsay Aqui attempts to answer these and other questions as the UK’s protracted departure from the European Union enters yet another phase. Relevant Posts Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra, (2019), «UK economy since the Brexit vote: …Read More

UK economy since the Brexit vote: slower GDP growth, lower productivity, and a weaker pound

Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra, (2019), “UK economy since the Brexit vote: slower GDP growth, lower productivity, and a weaker pound”, LSE EUROPP, 22 March Evidence of the UK’s economic performance since the EU Referendum is clear: GDP growth has slowed down, productivity has suffered, the pound has depreciated and purchasing power has gone down, and investments have declined. In this blog, Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra argue …Read More

Could Europe face the next recession?

Jan Priewe, (2019), “Could Europe face the next recession?”, Social Europe, 19 March That the eurozone is incomplete is an assessment shared by almost all economists and economic policy-makers. The prevailing opinion is that the European banking union is the most important missing part, in connection with a capital-markets union. A recent book, Still Time to Save the Euro, published by Social Europe, addresses six key economic problems which are …Read More