Jaroszewicz, Μ. (2014) “Can we expect a rise in migration from Eastern Europe?“, EU Observer, 15 July.
Research indicates that the inflow of migrants from Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova – even after visa liberalisation – will be modest.
The Polish Centre for Eastern Studies, altogether with seven other research institutions from Central and Eastern Europe, has recently concluded research aimed at forecasting possible future migration from eastern Europe to the EU and to ‘new’ EU member states in particular.
Special attention was given to links between visa liberalisation and possible changes in migratory dynamics.
According to our findings, no large influx of labour migrants from Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova to the EU should be expected in the nearest future. This is also the case after the visa regime is abolished (as it is with Moldova).
Relevant posts:
- Pascouau, Y. (2014) “The European Council’s strategic guidelines and immigration: can the EU be bold and innovative?“, European Policy Centre Commentary, 25 June.
- Bertoli, Simone, Brücker, Herbert, Fernández-Huertas Moraga, Jesús (2013) “The European Crisis and Migration to Germany: Expectations and the Diversion of Migration Flows“, IZA Discussion Papers, N.7170.
- Zaiceva, Anzelika, Zimmermann, Klaus F. (2012) “Returning Home at Times of Trouble? Return Migration of EU Enlargement Migrants during the Crisis“, IZA Discussion Paper, N.7111.