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Euro area international trade in goods surplus €17.9 bn

Eurostat/Euro area international trade in goods surplus €17.9 bn/15 June 2017 The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in April 2017 was €167.7 billion, a decrease of 3% compared with April 2016 (€172.5 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €149.8 bn, a rise of 3% compared with April 2016 (€145.9 bn). As a result, the euro area …Read More

The effect of card payments on vat revenue in Greece

Hondroyiannis, George, Papaoikonomou, Dimitrios, (2017), “The effect of card payments on vat revenue in Greece”, Bank of Greece Working Paper 225, May The effect of card payments on VAT revenue performance in Greece is investigated using quarterly observations on card transactions during 2002q1-2016q2. Timevarying-coefficient methods are employed, in order to study the role of increasing card payments after the imposition of cash restrictions in July 2015. We find that (i) …Read More

How Long Can the Eurozone Survive Without Greater Integration?

Rogoff, Kenneth, (2017), “How Long Can the Eurozone Survive Without Greater Integration?”, Project Syndicate, 14 June With a reform-minded centrist president elected in France and the re-election of German Chancellor Angela Merkel seeming ever more likely, is there new hope for the stalled single-currency project in Europe? In the near term, it looks that way. The eurozone recovery has out-performed expectations, and the election of Macron has raised hopes that …Read More

Employment up by 0.4% in both the euro area and in the EU28

Eurostat/Employment up by 0.4% in both the euro area and in the EU28/14 June 2017 The number of persons employed increased by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and in the EU28 in the first quarter of 2017 compared with the previous quarter, according to national accounts estimates published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the fourth quarter of 2016, employment increased also by 0.4% …Read More

Global Economic Outlook, June 2017

OECD, (2017), “Global Eonomic Outlook”, June The mood in the global econom has brightened during the lat year. Confidence indicators, industrial production, headline measures of employment, and cross-border trade flows have improved in most economies, However, this still-modest cyclical expansion is not yet robust enough to yield a durable improvement in potential output or to reduce persistent inequalities. Relevant Posts OECD, (2017), “Greece Economic Forecast (June 2017)”, June International Monetary …Read More

The macroeconomic impact of the ECB’s expanded asset purchase programme (APP)

Gambetti, Luca, Musso, Alberto, (2017), “The macroeconomic impact of the ECB’s expanded asset purchase programme (APP)”, ECB Working Paper Series No 2075, Ιούνιος This paper provides empirical evidence on the macroeconomic impact of the expanded asset purchase programme (APP) announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) in January 2015. The shock associated to the APP is identified with a combination of sign, timing and magnitude restrictions in the context of …Read More

Jobs gap closes but recovery remains uneven

OECD, (2017), “Jobs gap closes but recovery remains uneven”, 13 June The job market continues to improve in the OECD area, with the employment rate finally returning to pre-crisis levels. But people on low and middle incomes have seen their wages stagnate and the share of middle-skilled jobs has fallen, contributing to rising inequality and concerns that top earners are getting a disproportionate share of the gains from economic growth, …Read More

New Pact for Europe National Report GREECE

ELIAMEP, (2017), “New Pact for Europe National Report GREECE”, ELIAMEP, June This report is inspired by the discussions of the Greek National Reflection Group enriched by exchanges with National Reflection Groups from France and Estonia. It reflects on the ‘state of the Union’ from a national perspective and discusses the main challenges the EU and its members are facing, taking into account both the European and national perspective. Finally, it proposes …Read More

House prices and monetary policy in the euro area: evidence from structural VARs

Nocera, Andrea, Roma, Moreno, (2017), “House prices and monetary policy in the euro area: evidence from structural VARs”, ECB, June We use a structural Bayesian vector autoregression model for seven euro-area countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain) for the period 1980:Q1- 2014:Q4 to provide a systematic structural analysis of the impacts of housing demand shocks on economic activity and the role of house prices in the monetary …Read More

Capital Requirements For Banks Are Needed But Costly—Only Limited Increases Are Called For

William R., Cline, (2017), “Capital Requirements For Banks Are Needed But Costly—Only Limited Increases Are Called For”, PIIE, 12 June Cline’s study, one of several analyses of financial stability published by PIIE since the crisis of 2008–09, reviews the extensive literature on banking crises, regulations, and their impact on capital formation and economic growth. It looks indepth at the multilateral voluntary framework on bank capital adequacy known as Basel III, established …Read More