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What those calling for Brexit could learn from the Greek bailout referendum

Featherstone, Kevin, (2016), “What those calling for Brexit could learn from the Greek bailout referendum”, LSE Europpblog, 6 June In the summer of 2015, Greece held a referendum on a proposed bailout deal, with the electorate decisively rejecting the proposal. Kevin Featherstone writes that much like the upcoming referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU, the referendum in Greece was accompanied by the rise of populist campaigning in which emotional appeals …Read More

The Impact of the Collaborative Economy on the Labour Market

De Groen, Willem Pieter, Maselli, Ilaria, (2016), “The Impact of the Collaborative Economy on the Labour Market”, CEPS, 3 June The digitalisation of work is creating new ways of intermediating work, with for example platforms intermediating work between individuals online. These so-called online collaborative platforms have the potential to fundamentally change the labour market, but for the moment, with an estimated 100,000 active workers or 0.05% of total employees in the …Read More

European banking supervision: compelling start, lingering challenges

Schoenmaker, Dirk, Véron, Nicolas, (2016), “European banking supervision: compelling start, lingering challenges”, Bruegel, 8 June The new European banking supervision system is broadly effective and, in line with the claim often made by its leading officials, tough and fair, but there are significant areas for future improvement. European banking supervision (also known as the Single Supervisory Mechanism) is the first step in Europe’s banking union. Some 18 months after its official start on …Read More

Let’s Get Fiscal

Emmott, Bill, (2016), “Let’s Get Fiscal”, Project Syndicate, 8 June Everyone knows there is no gain without pain. But there can be pain without gain – a lesson that Western populations have been learning the hard way since at least 2012. With years of fiscal austerity in the United States, Europe, and Japan having achieved nothing, it is time for governments to start spending again. The proposal will be met with outrage …Read More

European banking supervision: the first eighteen months

Schoenmaker, Dirk, Véron, Nicolas, (2016), “European banking supervision: the first eighteen months”, Bruegel, 8 June European banking supervision, also known as the Single Supervisory Mechanism, is the first and arguably the main component of European banking union. In late 2014, the European Central Bank became the supervisor for the region’s largest banking groups; the ECB also oversees the supervision by national authorities of smaller banks. This Blueprint is the first in-depth study of how …Read More

IMF Go Home

Gros, Daniel, (2016), “IMF Go Home”, Project Syndicate, 8 June The curtains are up on another act of the Greek debt drama. Eurozone finance ministers and the International Monetary Fund have agreed with Greece to begin, per the IMF’s demands, providing some debt relief to the country, and to release €10.3 billion ($11.6 billion) in bailout funds. Greece, for its part, has agreed to another round of austerity and structural reform. …Read More

Global Economic Prospects, June 2016 : Divergences and Risks

World Bank Group, (2016), “Global Economic Prospects, June 2016 : Divergences and Risks”, World Bank, June The World Bank is revising its 2016 global growth forecast down to 2.4 percent from the 2.9 percent pace projected in January. The move is due to sluggish growth in advanced economies, stubbornly low commodity prices, weak global trade, and diminishing capital flows. Commodity-exporting emerging market and developing economies have struggled to adapt to …Read More

Macroeconomic Relevance of Insolvency Frameworks in a High-debt Context: An EU Perspective

Bricongne, Jean-Charles, Demertzis, Maria, Pontuch, Peter, Turrini, Alessandro, (2016),  “Macroeconomic Relevance of Insolvency Frameworks in a High-debt Context: An EU Perspective”, European Commission, Discussion Paper 032, June The high level of private debt in many EU countries has put a spotlight on the role that insolvency frameworks can play in helping to address debt overhangs and clean bank balance sheets of nonperforming loans. This paper reviews the macroeconomic relevance of insolvency frameworks from an …Read More

Currency unions and trade: A post-EMU reassessment

Glick, Reuven, Rose, Andrew K., (2016), “Currency unions and trade: A post-EMU reassessment”, European Economic Review, June In our European Economic Review (2002) paper, we used pre-1998 data on countries participating in and leaving currency unions to estimate the effect of currency unions on trade using (then-) conventional gravity models. In this paper, we use a variety of empirical gravity models to estimate the currency union effect on trade and exports, using recent …Read More

The international role of the euro

European Central Bank, (2016), “The international role of the euro”, ECB, June This 15th annual review of the international role of the euro published by the ECB is an interim version that presents a concise overview of developments in the use of the euro by non-euro area residents. The period covered by this report is 2015 and early 2016. The developments seen in the international role of the euro during …Read More