This site is for archive purposes. Please visit www.eliamep.gr for latest updates
Go to Top

Library

Did the crisis permanently scar the Portuguese labour market? Evidence from a Markov-switching Beveridge curve analysis

Vansteenkiste, Isabel, (2017), “Did the crisis permanently scar the Portuguese labour market? Evidence from a Markov-switching Beveridge curve analysis”, ECB, April In this paper we analyse to what extent the outward shift in the Portuguese Beveridge curve since 2007 has been due to structural or cyclical factors and how likely the outward shift will persist. We do this by empirically estimating the Beveridge curve in a Markov-switching panel setting with time-varying …Read More

Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions

Scheffel, Martin, Krebs, Tom, (2017), “Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions”, IMF, 3 April This paper studies the effect of two labor market institutions, unemployment insurance (UI) and job search assistance (JSA), on the output cost and welfare cost of recessions. The paper develops a tractable incomplete-market model with search unemployment, skill depreciation during unemployment, and idiosyncratic as well as aggregate labor market risk. The theoretical analysis shows that …Read More

Fiscal Crises

Farah-Yacoub, Juan, Gerling, Kerstin, A Medas, Paulo, Poghosyan, Tigran, Xu, Yizhi, (2017), “Fiscal Crises”, IMF, 3 April A key objective of fiscal policy is to maintain the sustainability of public finances and avoid crises. Remarkably, there is very limited analysis on fiscal crises. This paper presents a new database of fiscal crises covering different country groups, including low-income developing countries (LIDCs) that have been mostly ignored in the past. Countries faced …Read More

After The Rome Declaration: A Union – Not A State

Fabbrini , Sergio, (2017), “After The Rome Declaration: A Union – Not A State”, Social Europe, 4 April The Declaration recites: “We will act together, at different paces and intensity where necessary, while moving in the same direction, as we have done in the past, in line with the Treaties and keeping the door open to those who want to join later. Our Union is undivided and indivisible”. Indeed, the …Read More

Financial Transactions Taxes Make the Economy More Efficient

Baker, Dean, (2017), “Financial Transactions Taxes Make the Economy More Efficient”, CEPR, 3 April The government of Belgium is arguing that trades by these funds should not be subject to the tax. This objection makes little sense if the goal of the Belgium government is actually to protect the pension funds. Of course it is a great line of argument if the point is to sabotage the FTT while appearing to …Read More

The conduct of monetary policy in a diverse monetary union

Perotti , Enrico, (2017), “The conduct of monetary policy in a diverse monetary union”, Vox EU, 4 April The monetary union of the euro has been established between very diverse countries. In itself, diversity is a positive feature, since variation in comparative advantages enables more risk sharing and gains from enhanced trade (Alesina and la Ferrara 2005). Yet European countries also differ in terms of institutional quality. This difference is …Read More

Employment ins and outs in OECD countries

Garda, Paula, (2017), “Employment ins and outs in OECD countries”, OECD, 30 March The paper Garda (2016) “The Ins and Outs of employment in 25 OECD country” uses household surveys for 25 OECD countries to analyse cross-country differences in the transitions between employment, unemployment and economic inactivity for individuals. Between 2005 and 2012, the annual probability of leaving employment averaged 10% across OECD countries. Jobless people have an average 30% …Read More

Central bank communication in a low interest rate environment

Benoît Cœuré, (2017), “Central bank communication in a low interest rate environment”, Bruegel, 31 March Speech by Benoît Cœuré, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at an event organised by Bruegel, Brussels, 31 March 2017 Relevant Posts Blanke, Jennifer, Krogstrup, Signe, (2016), “Negative interest rates: absolutely everything you need to know”, World Economic Forum, 2 November Barwell, Richard, (2016), “No hawks, no doves, only consensus: How central banks set interest rates”, …Read More

Monte Paschi Bailout Plan Has Some ECB Supervisors Grumbling

Weber, Alexander, (2017), “Monte Paschi Bailout Plan Has Some ECB Supervisors Grumbling”, Bloomberg, 27 March When the European Central Bank declared Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA solvent last December, the first step toward a state-funded rescue, some members of the 19-nation Supervisory Board weren’t fully on board. Confronted with what they saw as a political agreement to bail out the world’s oldest lender, dissenters went along with the …Read More

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management

Cantore, Cristiano, Melina, Giovanni, Pearlman, Joseph G, Levine, Paul L, (2017), “Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management”, IMF Working Paper 17/78, 30 March The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government’s commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation is very slow. …Read More