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The German Minimum Wage Is Not A Job Killer

Janssen, Ronald, (2015), “The German Minimum Wage Is Not A Job Killer”, Social Europe Journal, 9 September Mainstream economists excel in scaremongering about the dismal effects any policy that tries to correct market forces may have on economic performance. By arguing that such a policy will destroy jobs, things are even turned upside down. Because of the presumed job losses, social policy suddenly becomes anything but social while liberal economic policy …Read More

The age of global value chains

Amador, João, Di Mauro, Filippo, (2015), “The age of global value chains”, Voxeu, 9 September There is an urgent need for policymakers to fully acknowledge the extent to which conventional indicators related to gross trade are severely flawed as policy benchmarks because they fail to take into account the existence of global value chains and their increasing role in shaping the global economy. This column, which introduces a new Vox ebook, urges …Read More

Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration

Badinger, Harald, Nitch, Volker, (2015), “Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration”, Routledge publications, European Union Series, 30 September The aim of this book is twofold. Firstly, the text illustrates the broad and diverse range of issues associated with European integration, and lastly, the key approaches and findings are summarised. Since institutional integration in Europe is an ongoing process, with possibly frequent and sometimes rapid changes, the chapters are …Read More

The Euro, The Dollar and the Global Financial Crisis

Otero-Iglesias, Miguel, (2015), “The Euro, The Dollar and the Global Financial Crisis”, Routledge publications, European Union Series, 18 October Drawing on Chartalist and Constructivist theories of money, the author provides a systematic approach to studying global currency dynamics and presents extensive original empirical data on financial elites in China, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Brazil. The author demonstrates, amongst other things, how the gradual ascendance of a structurally flawed currency …Read More

A false sense of security in applying handpicked equations for stress test purposes

Gross, Marco, Poblacion, Javier, (2015), “A false sense of security in applying handpicked equations for stress test purposes”, ECB Working Paper Series, No. 1845, September The purpose of this paper is to promote the use of Bayesian model averaging for the design of satellite models that financial institutions employ for stress testing. Banks employing ’handpicked’ equations – while meeting standard economic and econometric soundness criteria – risk significantly underestimating the …Read More

The Eurozone Crisis: A Consensus View of the Causes and a Few Possible Solutions

Baldwin, Richard, Giavazzi, Francesco, (2015), “The Eurozone Crisis: A Consensus View of the Causes and a Few Possible Solutions”, CEPR Press, 7 September There is not yet a consensus on what more needs to be done in order to cope with the Eurozone Crisis. This new Vox eBook concerns the causes and possible solutions to the problem. In it, the authors highlight three ultimate causes for the Crisis. First, policy failures allowed the imbalances …Read More

The triumph of backward-looking economics

Cohen-Setton, Jeremie, (2015), “The triumph of backward-looking economics”, Bruegel publications, 7 September What’s at stake: At a time when monetary policy makers have a hard time generating inflation despite credible monetary regime changes (e.g. Japan), it is tempting to argue that there is simply substantial inertia in inflation. In this modern version of the old debate about the relative merit between rational and adaptive expectations, the reinterpretation of Reagan-Volker era …Read More

Bank bailouts, monetary policy, and credit default risks in the Eurozone

Rieth, Malte, Fratzscher, Marcel, (2015), “Bank bailouts, monetary policy, and credit default risks in the Eurozone”, Voxeu, 6 September In a response the Crisis, the ECB provided liquidity to banks on a massive scale and intervened in sovereign debt markets. This column argues that bank bailout policies and non-standard monetary policies by the ECB had a significant impact on default risks of sovereigns and banks in the Eurozone. The results, however, show that neither …Read More

The Eurozone crisis has deeply eroded the EU’s accountability structures

Dawson, Mark, (2015), “The Eurozone crisis has deeply eroded the EU’s accountability structures”, LSE blog, 7 September Greece’s confrontation with the Eurozone seems to follow a familiar pattern. We start with a realisation, often confirmed by leaked IMF reports, that the latest round of financial assistance is not working. First the blame game: for creditor countries and their commentariat supporters, it is because reforms have not been properly implemented; for the …Read More

Europe’s Economy Needs Action, Not Words

Bloomberg  View, (2015), “Europe’s Economy Needs Action, Not Words”, 4 September European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is something of an expert at moving markets by doing nothing, and he showed his prowess again yesterday. He said the ECB stands ready to stimulate Europe’s sluggish economy further, but has no plans to do so right now. That was seen as dovish, so European stocks advanced, euro bond-yields declined, and the …Read More