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Watch Italy’s referendum for potential banking problems

Codogno, Lorenzo, Monti, Mara, (2016), “Watch Italy’s referendum for potential banking problems”, LSE EUROPP blog, 22 November Italy’s constitutional referendum is fast approaching and financial markets are already jittery. Lorenzo Codogno and Mara Monti write that while some observers have pointed to the risk of the Five Star Movement getting into power, or even Italy leaving the euro, these are unlikely developments, at least in the short term. The real issue is …Read More

An update: Sovereign bond holdings in the euro area – the impact of QE

Hüttl, Pia, Merler, Silvia, (2016), “An update: Sovereign bond holdings in the euro area – the impact of QE”, Bruegel, 22 November Since the ECB’s announcement of its QE programme in January 2015, national central banks have been buying government and national agency bonds. In this post we look at the effect of QE on sectoral holdings of government bonds, based on our recently updated dataset. Relevant Posts Pia Huttl, Silvia Merler, …Read More

Addressing market failures in the resolution of nonperforming loans in the euro area

European Central Bank, (2016), “Addressing market failures in the resolution of nonperforming loans in the euro area”, ECB, 22 November The high stock of non-performing loans (NPLs) on the balance sheets of euro area banks continues to be an important cause for concern for policymakers. Efforts to resolve this problem have increased significantly in the course of 2016, by supervisors and macroprudential policymakers alike. To relieve capital constraints, these efforts, …Read More

Credit recovery in Spain: NPL resolution was essential, but success depended on broader sector reform

Lehmann, Alexander, (2016), “Credit recovery in Spain: NPL resolution was essential, but success depended on broader sector reform”, Bruegel, 21 November Growth in Spain again exceeded expectations this year, and bank deleveraging appears to have reached an end. Addressing non-performing loans was a precondition for recovery, and it required comprehensive financial sector reform. Relevant Posts Panagiotarea, Eleni, (2016), “The Political Economy of NPLs resolution: Ownership and conditionality”, Hellenic Observatory LSE, …Read More

The current state and future challenges of financial regulation

Beck, Thorsten, Carletti, Elena, Goldstein, Itay, (2016), “The current state and future challenges of financial regulation”, VoxEu, 22 November The Global Crisis has led to a new wave of regulation. This column argues that improved capital requirements, liquidity requirements, bank resolution and cross-border regulatory cooperation are welcome, but that unresolved problems remain. Specifically, regulation may become too complex, focus too little on macroprudential risks, be inadequate to deal with crises …Read More

Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates : Does Politics Matter?

Tovar Jalles, Joao, Mulas-Granados, Carlos, Tavares, José, (2016), “Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates : Does Politics Matter?”, IMF Working Paper 16/230, 18 November We look at the effect of exchange rate regimes on fiscal discipline, taking into account the effect of underlying political conditions. We present a model where strong politics (defined as policymakers facing longer political horizon and higher cohesion) are associated with better fiscal performance, but fixed exchange rates …Read More

Collaborative economy

Petropoulos, Georgios, (2016), “Collaborative economy”, Bruegel, 18 November Georgios Petropoulos was invited to speak at a workshop on collaborative economy organised by the Internal Market Committee (IMCO) of the European Parliament on November 8. The focus of the workshop was the definition of, and distinction between, professional version non-professional/occasional provision of services, as well as the future of a regulatory framework for non-professional provision of services and prosumers. It included a debate …Read More

European Union’s Key Figures

Alonso Alonso, Lucas Juan Manuel, (2016), “European Union’s Key Figures”, LSE Euro Crisis in the Press blog, 15 November With the objective to draw some conclusions about macroeconomic stability and economic structure, this article examines for the 28 Member States of the European Union, the following aspects: GDP and AIC per capita, General Government Gross Debt, Labour Productivity (monetary units and percentages), Average Annual Wages, Annual Hours Worked, Jobless and Average …Read More

Securitization and Credit Quality

Marques‐Ibanez , David, (2016), “Securitization and Credit Quality”, IMF Working Paper 16/221, 16 November Banks are usually better informed on the loans they originate than other financial intermediaries. As a result, securitized loans might be of lower credit quality than otherwise similar nonsecuritized loans. We assess the effect of securitization activity on loans’ relative credit quality employing a uniquely detailed dataset from the euro-denominated syndicated loan market. We find that, at …Read More

How do policies influence GDP tail risks?

Caldera Sánchez, Aida, Röhn, Oliver, (2016), “How do policies influence GDP tail risks?”, OECD, 16 November This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods. Conditioning on several country characteristics such as the size, stage of development and openness to trade as well as macroeconomic policies, the following findings for a panel of mostly …Read More