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Financial globalisation and monetary policy effectiveness

Georgiadis, Georgios, Mehl, Arnaud, (2016), “Financial globalisation and monetary policy effectiveness”, VoxEu, 14 November In theory, financial globalisation has ambiguous effects on monetary policy. It may dampen effectiveness, but it may also amplify it through exchange rate valuation effects. This column shows evidence that the latter effect has dominated since the 1990s. Financial globalisation has increased the output effect of a tightening in monetary policy by as much as 25%. …Read More

Are advanced economies at risk of falling into debt traps?

Dabrowski, Marek, (2016), “Are advanced economies at risk of falling into debt traps?”, Bruegel, 10 November One of the consequences of the global financial crisis has been rapid growth in public debt in most advanced economies. This Policy Contribution assesses the size of public debt in advanced economies and considers the potential consequences of sovereign insolvency. Relevant Posts Jaramillo, Laura, Mulas-Granados, Carlos, Kimani, Elijah, (2016), “The Blind Side of Public Debt Spikes”, …Read More

Public support for the euro

Roth, Felix, Jonung, Lars, Nowak-Lehmann, Felicitas, (2016), “Public support for the euro”, VoxEu, 11 November The euro as a common currency has recently been the subject of harsh criticism by economists from both sides of the Atlantic, including claims that citizens in some Eurozone countries are turning against the it. This column argues that, in fact, the euro currently enjoys comfortable popular support in each of the 12 original member states …Read More

Income convergence during the crisis: did EU funds provide a buffer?

Merler, Silvia, (2016), “Income convergence during the crisis: did EU funds provide a buffer?”, Bruegel, 10 November Economic convergence is at the heart of European Union integration.  Cohesion policy was born in the 1980s with the aim of complementing the creation of a single European market and fostering the economic development of less advantaged EU regions. This objective is especially relevant in light of the economic crisis that has exacted a …Read More

A Decentralised Fiscal Stimulus Is The Right Answer To The EMU’s Problems

Fazi, Thomas, Iodice, Guido, (2016), “A Decentralised Fiscal Stimulus Is The Right Answer To The EMU’s Problems”, Social Europe, 9 November The global financial crisis exposed the euro’s original sin of depriving member states of their fiscal autonomy without transferring this spending power to a higher authority. This left member states utterly defenceless in the face of economic crises such as the 2008 booms-gone-bust. Yet, the crisis didn’t bring about, as one …Read More

Some are more equal than others: new estimates of global and regional inequality

Darvas, Zsolt, (2016), “Some are more equal than others: new estimates of global and regional inequality”, Bruegel, 8 November Zsolt Darvas compares four methodologies to estimate the global distribution of income and find that many methods work well, but the method based on two-parameter distributions is more accurate than other methods. This method is simpler, easier to implement and relies on a more internationally-comparable dataset of national income distributions than …Read More

Diverging household debt patterns in the Eurozone: The role of institutions

Bover, Olympia, Casado, Jose Maria, Costa, Sónia, Du Caju, Philip, McCarthy, Yvonne, Sierminska, Eva, Tzamourani, Panagiota, Villanueva, Ernesto, Zavadil, Tibor, (2016), “Diverging household debt patterns in the Eurozone: The role of institutions”, VoxEu, 8 November Household micro-data reveal striking differences in secured debt holdings across Eurozone countries. This column presents new evidence on the role of household characteristics and country institutions in accounting for the cross-country patterns observed. In countries with lengthier …Read More

The Skills Delusion

Turner, Adair, (2016), “ The Skills Delusion”, Social Europe, 7 November Everybody agrees that better education and improved skills, for as many people as possible, is crucial to increasing productivity and living standards and to tackling rising inequality. But what if everybody is wrong? Relevant Posts Kai Liua, Kjell G. Salvanes, Erik Ø. Sørensen, (2016), “Good skills in bad times: Cyclical skill mismatch and the long-term effects of graduating in …Read More

Big Danger at the Lower Bound

Rogoff, Kenneth, (2016), “Big Danger at the Lower Bound”, Project Syndicate, 2 November Markets nowadays are fixated on how high the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the next 12 months. This is dangerously shortsighted: the real concern ought to be how far it could cut rates in the next deep recession. Given that the Fed may struggle just to get its base interest rate up to 2% …Read More

A Perfectly Crazy Idea for the IMF

Panizza, Ugo, (2016), “A Perfectly Crazy Idea for the IMF”, Project Syndicate, 2 November Emerging economies inhabit a risky world characterized by volatile capital flows. But, rather than rely on the IMF to fulfill its mandate of protecting them from liquidity crises, they self-insure by accumulating large stockpiles of international reserves. Emerging and developing economies now lend nearly $7.5 trillion to the US Treasury – resources that could be used …Read More