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The increasing competiveness of the southern Eurozone

Auer, R. (2014) “The increasing competiveness of the southern Eurozone“, VoxEU Organisation, 11 April.   Some view the improvements in current accounts for Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain as short-lived – the result of a temporary compression of import demand that is likely to be reversed as the recession eases. This column argues the contrary, based on the fact that their improving trade balances reflect better export performance. This development …Read More

Estimating the impact of changes in aggregate bank capital requirements during an upswing

Noss, J. & Toffano, P. (2014) “Estimating the impact of changes in aggregate bank capital requirements during an upswing“, VoxEU Organisations, 06 April.   The impact of tighter regulatory capital requirements during an economic upswing is a key question in macroprudential policy. This column discusses research suggesting that an increase of 15 basis points in aggregate capital ratios of banks operating in the UK is associated with a median reduction …Read More

The eye, the needle and the camel: Rich countries can benefit from EU membership

Campos, F. N., Coricelli, F. & Moretti, L. (2014) “The eye, the needle and the camel: Rich countries can benefit from EU membership“, VoxEU Organisation, 05 April.   One concern with EU enlargement is that relatively poorer countries benefit more from becoming members. This column uses data from the 1973 and 1995 enlargements to show that richer countries also benefited a lot from joining the EU. Per capita incomes would …Read More

The lack of monetary sovereignty is not the reason Eurozone countries struggled during the crisis

Mabbett, D. & Schelkle, W. (2014) “The lack of monetary sovereignty is not the reason Eurozone countries struggled during the crisis“, LSE EUROPP, 04 April.   One of the most widespread arguments about the Eurozone crisis is that countries such as Greece, Spain and Italy have been hamstrung by their lack of monetary sovereignty and the ability to devalue their own currency. Deborah Mabbett and Waltraud Schelkle assess this perspective …Read More

Fiscal adjustment and growth: Beware of the credit constraints

Baldacci, E., Gupta, S., Mulas-Granados, C. (2014) “Fiscal adjustment and growth: Beware of the credit constraints“, VoxEU Organisation, 31 March.   The recent debate on the link between austerity and growth has focused on the short run. This column discusses recent research into the link between fiscal consolidation and medium-term growth under different financial conditions. If credit is not available to consumers and investors, private demand is less able to …Read More

Delivering the Eurozone ‘Consistent Trinity’

Buti, M., Demertzis, M. & Nogueira Martins, J. (2014) “Delivering the Eurozone Consistent Trinity“, VoxEU Organisation, 30 March.   Although progress has been made on resolving the Eurozone crisis – vulnerable countries have reduced their current-account deficits and implemented some reforms – more still needs to be done. This column argues for a ‘consistent trinity’ of policies: structural reforms within countries, more symmetric macroeconomic adjustment across countries, and a banking …Read More

Cross-country Insurance Mechanisms in Currency Unions

Van Beers, N., Bijlsma, M. & Zwart T. J., G. (2014) “Cross-country Insurance Mechanisms in Currency Unions”, Bruegel Institute, 27 March.   Countries in a monetary union can adjust to shocks either through internal or external mechanisms. We quantitatively assess for the European Union a number of relevant mechanisms suggested by Mundell’s optimal currency area theory, and compare them to the United States. For this purpose, we update a number …Read More

The Eiffel Group: A political community to rebuild the architecture of the euro

Benassy-Quéré, A. &  Vallee, S. (2014) “The Eiffel Group: A Political Community to Rebuild the Architecture of the Euro“, VoxEU Organisation, 27 March.   The recent crisis has highlighted some problems in the current structure of the Eurozone, such as the lack of political integration. This column introduces the Eiffel group – a group of French experts – and its call for a ‘political community of the euro’. The economic …Read More

The Chartbook of Economic Inequality

Atkinson, T. & Morelli, S. (2014) “The Chartbook of Economic Inequality“, VoxEU Organisation, 26 March.   Inequality – long ignored – is now centre stage in debate about economic policy around the globe. This column introduces the Chartbook of Economic Inequality, a summary of long-run changes in economic inequality for 25 countries over more than 100 years. Inequality – long ignored – is now centre stage in debate about economic …Read More

Future of Skills in Europe: Convergence or Polarisation?

Beblavý, M. & Veselkova, Μ. (2014) “Future of Skills in Europe: Convergence or Polarisation?“, Social Welfare Policies, CEPS Working Documents, 27 February.   In this Working Paper, based on nearly 20 papers produced by the Centre for European Policy Studies, Slovak Governance Institute and the Conference Board Europe, we examine whether the current trends in the areas of education and skills are pushing the European Union, towards convergence or polarisation. …Read More