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On The Alleged Pains of the Strong Euro

Bibow, J. (2014) “On The Alleged Pains of the Strong Euro“, Social Europe Journal, 03 April.   Since its most recent low of $1.20, reached in the heat of the summer of 2012, the euro has appreciated by 15 percent against the US dollar and by more than 10 percent in inflation-adjusted terms against a broad basket of currencies representative of the euro area’s main trading partners. Amounting to a …Read More

Orderly debt reduction rather than permanent mutualisation is the way to go

Vihriälä, V. & Weder di Mauro, B. (2014) “Orderly debt reduction rather than permanent mutualisation is the way to go“, VoxEU Organisation, 02 April.   The EZ debt overhang needs to be fixed. This column argues that making market discipline credible requires an orderly debt restructuring mechanism combined with a strictly regulated temporary mutualisation scheme or a well-designed debt conversion scheme. This combination could reduce the current debt overhang in …Read More

What has been agreed on banking union risks reigniting, rather than resolving the crisis

Begg, I. (2014) “What has been agreed on banking union risks reigniting, rather than resolving the crisis“, LSE, Euro Crisis in the Press, 02 April.   In December 2013 EU finance ministers negotiated an agreement aimed at establishing a banking union, with further talks between the European Parliament and the Member States ending in an agreement last week. Iain Begg provides a detailed overview of the main objectives of banking …Read More

Understanding the Confidence Fairy

Smith, Y. (2014) “Understanding the Confidence Fairy“, MacroBusiness, 1 April.   One strange claim in the economic debate that followed the financial crisis was the impact of uncertainty on the path of investment and subsequently the recovery in economic activity. Taking just one example, it was claimed here that “fiscal policy uncertainty has directly harmed the American economy by increasing the unemployment rate by 0.6%, or the equivalent of 900,000 …Read More

Kapital for the Twenty-First Century?

Piketty, T. (2014) “Kapital for the Twenty-First Century?“, Belknap Press, 2014, 671 pp.   What is “capital”? To Karl Marx, it was a social, political, and legal category—the means of control of the means of production by the dominant class. Capital could be money, it could be machines; it could be fixed and it could be variable. But the essence of capital was neither physical nor financial. It was the …Read More

TARGET Balances, Bretton Woods, and the Great Depression

Bordo, M. (2014) “TARGET Balances, Bretton Woods, and the Great Depression“, VoxEU Organisation, 21 March.   Since 2007, there has been a buildup of TARGET imbalances within the Eurosystem – growing liabilities of national central banks in the periphery matched by growing claims of central banks in the core. This column argues that, rather than signalling the collapse of the monetary system – as was the case for Bretton Woods …Read More

The ECB Should Do QE, Mario? Buy US Bonds, Not Eurobonds

Frankel, J. (2014) “The ECB Should Do QE, Mario? Buy US Bonds, Not Eurobonds“, Opinion Article, VoxEU Organisation, 24 March. The Eurozone needs to further ease monetary policy because under the current low inflation and high unemployment periphery countries need to suffer painful deflation. However, the ECB faces challenges other central banks do not face. This column proposes a way to overcome some of these hurdles. It argues that the …Read More

How much is enough? The case of the Resolution Fund in Europe

Huertas, T. & Nieto, J. M. (2014) “How Much is Enough? The Case of the Resolution Fund in Europe“, Vox: Research-Based Policy Analysis & Commentary from Leading Economists, 18 March.   The European Resolution Fund is intended to reach €55 billion – much less than the amount of public assistance required by individual institutions during the recent financial crisis. This column argues that the Resolution Fund can nevertheless be large …Read More

EU Launches Long-Awaited Overhaul of Megabank Regulation

Spellman, J. (2014) “EU Launches Long-Awaited Overhaul of Megabank Regulation“, The European Institute, EI Blog, January.   The European Union’s long-delayed overhaul of megabank regulation now proposes curtailing or banning the riskiest financial activities in hopes of avoiding a repeat of the 2007-2009 global financial system meltdown. Until now, the post-crisis EU banking reforms had not acted to rein in “too big to fail” banks, focusing instead on establishing a …Read More

Latvia and Greece: Less is More

Biggs, M. & Mayer, T. (2014) “Latvia and Greece: Less is More“, Economic Policy, CEPS High-Briefs, 12 February 2014 Key Points: Despite considerable differences, there were also many similarities in economic performance between Latvia and Greece before their respective adjustment crises. After the immediate crisis, however, economic activity rebounded sharply in Latvia but continued to contract in Greece. This paper argues that this difference was due primarily to developments in …Read More