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The effect of banking supervision on central bank preferences: Evidence from panel data

Chortareas, Georgios, Logothetis, Vassileios, Magkonis, Georgios, Zekente, Kalliopi-Maria, (2016), “The effect of banking supervision on central bank preferences: Evidence from panel data”, Economics Letters, Volume 140, March We examine the effects of banking supervisory architecture on central bank preferences, quantified through a recently proposed measure of central bank conservatism. Using a dynamic panel data specification we document that central banks serving both monetary policy and banking supervision functions are less inflation conservative …Read More

Benchmarking Working Europe 2016

European Trade Union Institute (ETUI), “Benchmarking Working Europe 2016″, ETUI aisbl: Brussels, March 2016 With this year’s chosen focus – ‘prepared for the future?’ – the new edition of Benchmarking working Europe analyses the state of working Europe with the aid of a multi-level and multi-dimensional set of indicators. This 2016 edition is intended as one contribution to an assessment of what the EU current policies have achieved, or above all …Read More

The ECB Goes Rogue

Eijffinger, Sylvester, (2016), “The ECB Goes Rogue”, Project Syndicate, 18 March The European Central Bank has done it again. At its recent meeting in Frankfurt, the ECB Governing Council decided to increase bond purchases further, from €60 billion ($67 billion) to €80 billion per month, with corporate bonds now also eligible for purchase. The deposit rate, too, was reduced once again, and now stands at -0.4%. This is far from a …Read More

Causes of the Eurozone Crisis: A nuanced view

Feld, Lars, P., Schmidt, Christoph, M., Schnabel, Isabel, Wieland, Volker, (2016), “Causes of the Eurozone Crisis: A nuanced view”, Voxeu, 22 March Hindsight is a wonderful thing. In the midst of a crisis, it is of course very hard to understand causality. This column uses the benefit of hindsight to present a nuanced view of the causes of the Eurozone Crisis as seen by members of the German Council of Economic Experts. To …Read More

The geography of the economic crisis in Europe: national macroeconomic conditions, regional structural factors and short-term economic performance

Crescenzi, Riccardo, Luca, Davide, Milio, Simona, (2016), “The geography of the economic crisis in Europe: national macroeconomic conditions, regional structural factors and short-term economic performance”, Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, March 2016 This article explores the linkages between pre-2008 crisis national macroeconomic conditions, regional resistance factors and depth of the crisis in the regions of the EU27. The results suggest that only a limited set of macroeconomic factors shape the regional …Read More

Confronting the Fiscal Bogeyman

Eichengreen, Barry, (2016), “Confronting the Fiscal Bogeyman“, Project Syndicate , 11 March The world economy is visibly sinking, and the policymakers who are supposed to be its stewards are tying themselves in knots. Or so suggest the results of the G-20 summit held in Shanghai at the end of last month. The International Monetary Fund, having just downgraded its forecast for global growth, warned the assembled G-20 attendees that yet another downgrade was …Read More

The G20’s structural reform agenda should address income gap and financial system fragility

Wolff, Guntram, B., (2016), “The G20’s structural reform agenda should address income gap and financial system fragility”, Bruegel, 15 March Traditional macroeconomic policies have been important in stabilizing the global economy, but they are no longer enough to addressing the fragility and low growth of the current economic environment. In particular, they cannot sustainably address the persistent weakness of demand, let alone drive new productivity growth. Such policies have far more limited ammunition …Read More

Economic crisis and youth unemployment: Comparing Greece and Ireland

Papadopoulos, Orestis, (2016), “Economic crisis and youth unemployment: Comparing Greece and Ireland”, European Journal of Industrial Relations, 23 February Both Greece and Ireland have long suffered high youth unemployment rates and have been pressured to restructure their employment and social systems under the European Employment Strategy. Problems were aggravated by the harsh conditions imposed by the Troika following bail-outs. Yet there was significant divergence in youth employment outcomes between Greece and …Read More

Moral suasion and bond buying in the Eurozone Crisis

Ongena,Steven, Popov, Alexander, van Horen, Neeltje, (2016), “Moral suasion and bond buying in the Eurozone Crisis“, Voxeu, 17 March The European sovereign debt crisis has triggered speculation that part of the increase in banks’ holdings of domestic sovereign debt was driven by ‘moral suasion’ by governments. This column shows that domestic banks in fiscally stressed countries were considerably more likely than foreign banks to increase their holdings of sovereign bonds in those …Read More

Optimal Fiscal Adjustment under Uncertainty

Rozenov, Rossen, (2016), “Optimal Fiscal Adjustment under Uncertainty“, IMF Working Paper, No. 16/69, 17 March The paper offers a non-probabilistic framework for representation of uncertainty in the context of a simple linear-quadratic model of fiscal adjustment. Instead of treating model disturbances as random variables with known probability distributions, it is only assumed that they belong to some pre-specified compact set. Such an approach is appropriate when the decision maker does not have …Read More