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Italexit is not a solution for Italy’s problems

Codogno, Lorenzo, Galli, Giampaolo, (2017), “Italexit is not a solution for Italy’s problems”, LSE EUROPP, 24 Φεβρουαρίου Beppe Grillo’s Five Star Movement riding high in the polls in Italy has led to speculation over the prospect of the country leaving the euro.Lorenzo Codogno and Giampaolo Galli argue that an ‘Italexit’ would be a catastrophic scenario, with incommensurable economic, social, and political costs lasting for many years. They note that redenomination, and a …Read More

Unleashing Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Europe: People, Places and Policies

Leceta, Manuel, Renda, Andrea, Konnola, Totti, Simonelli, Felice, (2017), “Unleashing Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Europe: People, Places and Policies”, Report of a CEPS Task Force, 22 Φεβρουαρίου This report sets out the elements for the design of a streamlined and future-proof policy on innovation and entrepreneurship in Europe. It is the result of a collective effort led by CEPS, which formed a Task Force on Innovation and Entrepreneurship in the EU, …Read More

Maastricht’s Flaws Still Plague Europe, 25 Years Later

Gilbert, Mark, (2017), “Maastricht’s Flaws Still Plague Europe, 25 Years Later”, BloombergView, 24 Φεβρουαρίου Twenty five years ago this month, the representatives of 12 countries gathered in the Dutch city of Maastricht to sign the Treaty on European Union. Its claim to mark “a new stage in the process of creating an ever closer union among the peoples of Europe” looks grandiose and overblown a quarter of a century later. …Read More

Dealing with Sovereign Debt—The IMF Perspective

Hagan, Sean, Obstfeld, Maurice, Thomsen, Poul M., (2017), “Dealing with Sovereign Debt—The IMF Perspective”, iMFdirect, 23 Φεβρουαρίου Debt is central to the functioning of a modern economy. Firms can use it to finance investments in future productivity. Households can use it to finance lumpy purchases, such as big consumer durables, or a home. Sometimes, however, firms’ investments do not pan out or a household’s main earner loses his or her job. …Read More

European Semester Winter Package: review of Member States’ progress towards economic and social priorities

European Commission, (2017), “European Semester Winter Package: review of Member States’ progress towards economic and social priorities”, European Commission – Press release, 22 Φεβρουαρίου The European Commission today publishes its annual analysis of the economic and social situation in the Member States, including an assessment of remaining imbalances. It also publishes a report on the implementation of the Fiscal Compact, a report analysing the debt situation in Italy and a …Read More

Brexit and the European financial system

Batsaikhan Uuriintuya , Kalcik, Robert , Schoenmaker, Dirk , (2017), “Brexit and the European financial system”, Bruegel, 9 Φεβρουαρίου London is an international financial centre, serving European and global clients. A hard Brexit would lead to a partial migration of financial firms from London to the EU27 (EU minus UK) to ensure they can continue to serve their EU27 clients. Four major cities will host most of the new EU27 wholesale …Read More

The Opening for Investors in Europe’s Political Turmoil

Sri-Kumar, Komal, (2017), “The Opening for Investors in Europe’s Political Turmoil”, BloombergView, 22 Φεβρουαρίου After a period of relative calm, volatility and investor fear have returned to Europe. Investors took in stride the Brexit vote last June, along with the decision by Italian voters in December to reject Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s referendum, which led to his resignation. But three national elections this year — in the Netherlands next month, …Read More

The effect of public investment in Europe: a model-based assessment

de Jong, Jasper, Ferdinandusse, Marien, Funda, Josip, Vetlov, Igor, (2017), ” The effect of public investment in Europe: a model-based assessment”, ECB Working Paper Series No 2021, Φεβρουάριος Public investment in Europe has significantly declined since the crisis, although developments are heterogeneous across countries. This has led to calls for stimulating public investment in an environment of low borrowing costs for governments, weak economic growth and monetary policy at the lower bound. …Read More

Don’t give up on Europe as an investment destination

Gallo, Alberto, (2017), “Don’t give up on Europe as an investment destination”, LSE, 21 Φεβρουαρίου Politically, the year 2017 looks like a minefield for Europe. Economically, however, the situation is much more promising: growth and inflation continue to accelerate and in the latest indices of economic surprises Europe has been faring better than the US. ECB stimulus is starting to work, unemployment is slowly falling and consumer confidence is rising. …Read More

In search of a European solution for banks’ non-performing loans

Onado, Marco, (2017), “In search of a European solution for banks’ non-performing loans”, VoxEu, 21 Φεβρουαρίου After ten years of crisis, European banks are far from seeing the end of the tunnel. While US banks have recovered fairly quickly and have reached in 2012-15 a return on equity of 9.3%, European banks are still stuck at a meagre 3.7%, well below their cost of capital (IMF 2016). This gap is explained …Read More