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August 2017: Economic Sentiment continues to rise in the euro area, broadly stable in the EU

European Commission/August 2017: Economic Sentiment continues to rise in the euro area, broadly stable in the EU/30 Αυγούστου 2017 The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for the euro area rose again in August, increasing slightly by 0.6 points to 111.9, its highest level in more than 10 years. The indicator for the EU remained broadly stable (-0.3 points to 111.9), just below its 10-year high of July. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις European Commission, (2016), …Read More

Getting Serious About Europe’s Fiscal Future

Bloomberg View, (2017), «Getting Serious About Europe’s Fiscal Future», 31 Αυγούστου In her re-election campaign, which seems to be going well, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has so far succeeded in avoiding controversy over a potentially divisive issue: the European Union’s fiscal prospects. After the election, this question will refuse to be ignored. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Rogoff, Kenneth, (2017), «How Long Can the Eurozone Survive Without Greater Integration?», Project Syndicate, 14 Ιουνίου Enderlein, …Read More

Euro area annual inflation up to 1.5%

Eurostat/Euro area annual inflation up to 1.5% /31 Αυγούστου 2017 Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 1.5% in August 2017, up from 1.3% in July 2017, according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Eurostat/Annual inflation stable at 1.3% in the euro area/17 Αυγούστου 2017 Eurostat/Annual inflation down to 1.3% in the euro area/17 Ιουλίου 2017

Αισιόδοξη η Moody’s για την Ευρωζώνη, απαισιόδοξη για την ανάπτυξη στις ΗΠΑ

Η Καθημερινή, (2017), «Αισιόδοξη η Moody’s για την Ευρωζώνη, απαισιόδοξη για την ανάπτυξη στις ΗΠΑ», 31 Αυγούστου Προς τα πάνω αναθεώρησε ο οίκος πιστοληπτικής αξιολόγησης Μoody’s τις προβλέψεις του για την ανάπτυξη της Γερμανίας, της Γαλλίας και της Ιταλίας, αλλά προς τα κάτω για τις ΗΠΑ. Στην έκθεση για την προοπτική της παγκόσμιας οικονομίας, η Μοοdy’s θεωρεί ότι οι οικονομίες του G20, δηλαδή των 20 ισχυρότερων οικονομιών του ανεπτυγμένου και …Read More

Correlation networks to measure the systemic implications of bank resolution

Paolo, Guidici, Parisi, Laura, (2017), «Correlation networks to measure the systemic implications of bank resolution», VoxEU, 28 Αυγούστου In the European single resolution framework, there are three potential paths for failing banks: bail-in, private intervention, or liquidation. This column proposes combining a new market-based early warning measure of credit risk based on CDS spreads to investigate potential losses and systemic contagion for each path. Applying this to Italy’s banking system …Read More

GDP Growth – Second quarter of 2017

OECD/GDP Growth – Second quarter of 2017/28 Αυγούστου 2017 Quarterly growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in the OECD area accelerated to 0.7% in the second quarter of 2017, compared with 0.5% in the previous quarter, according to provisional estimates. Among the Major Seven economies, in the second quarter of 2017, GDP growth accelerated strongly in Japan (to 1.0%, compared with 0.4% in the previous quarter) and the United States …Read More

Europe Has Recovered Enough to Ease Off the Quantitative Easing

Moss, Daniel, (2017), «Europe Has Recovered Enough to Ease Off the Quantitative Easing», Bloomberg View, 30 Αυγούστου The European Central Bank is approaching a great opportunity to signal unambiguously its confidence in the region’s economic revival. It would be a shame to miss it. The ECB’s governing council returns from its summer break next week knowing that its current program of quantitative easing expires at year end. Officials have spent months …Read More

Fiscal Policy Stabilisation and the Financial Cycle in the Euro Area

Alcidi, Cinzia, (2017), «Fiscal Policy Stabilisation and the Financial Cycle in the Euro Area», Fellowship Initiative, Discussion Paper 052, European Commission, Ιούλιος This paper examines the impact of the financial cycle on the capacity of the economy to deal with shocks, with a particular focus on fiscal policy in the euro area member states. It starts by measuring national financial cycles and investigating the synchronisation across them as well as their relationship to the medium-term business …Read More

Υπέρ του Ευρωπαϊκού Νομισματικού Ταμείου τάχθηκε η Μέρκελ

Η Καθημερινή, (2017), «Υπέρ του Ευρωπαϊκού Νομισματικού Ταμείου τάχθηκε η Μέρκελ», 30 Αυγούστου Υπέρ της μετατροπής του Ευρωπαϊκού Μηχανισμού Σταθερότητας (ESM) σε Ευρωπαϊκό Νομισματικό Ταμείο τάχθηκε η Γερμανίδα καγκελάριος Αγκελα Μέρκελ, μιλώντας θετικά ακόμη για μια ενιαία οικονομία με έναν υπουργό Οικονομικών για όλη την Ευρωζώνη. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Ημερησία.gr, (2017), «Πάγος» από τη Γερμανία στις προτάσεις της Κομισιόν», 7 Ιουλίου Συμεωνίδης, Κώστας, (2017), «Ευρωπαϊκό Νομισματικό Ταμείο προκρίνει η Μέρκελ – …Read More

The financial crisis, ten years on

Cecchetti, Stephen,  Schoenholtz, Kim, (2017), «The financial crisis, ten years on», VoxEU, 29 Αυγούστου There is still a notable lack of consensus over when exactly the 2007-09 financial crisis started. This column argues that the crisis began on 9 August 2007, when BNP Paribas announced they were suspending redemptions. In 2007, the US and European financial systems lacked two key shock absorbers: adequate capital to meet falls in asset values, …Read More

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