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Will the Single Resolution Fund be a ‘baby tiger’ during the transition?

Gros, Daniel, Pieter de Groen, Willem, (2015), “Will the Single Resolution Fund be a ‘baby tiger’ during the transition?”, Ceps publications, 17 Δεκεμβρίου Even during its early years, the Single Resolution Fund (SRF) should be sufficient to deal with almost any crisis scenario imaginable. The funding for the SRF will be built up only gradually over the coming decade, however, and there is thus a legitimate concern that it will …Read More

Non-performing loans in Italy and selected European countries

Berger, Bennet, (2015), “Non-performing loans in Italy and selected European countries”, Bruegel publications, 18 Δεκεμβρίου Fears of a banking crisis in Italy are surfacing after four small Italian banks were rescued in November.The rescue plan involves transferring the banks’ bad loans to a single bad bank. Non-performing loans (NPLs), loans in default or close to being in default, continue to raise doubts about the health of the banking sector in …Read More

Re-examining the Middle Income Trap Hypothesis: What to Reject and What to Revive?

Han, Xuehui, Wei, Shang-Jin, (2015), “Re-examining the Middle Income Trap Hypothesis: What to Reject and What to Revive?”, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Δεκέμβριος. Do middle-income countries face difficult challenges producing consistent growth? Using transition matrix analysis, we can easily reject any unconditional notion of a “middle-income trap” in the data. However, countries have different fundamentals and policies. Using a non-parametric classification technique, we search for variables that separate fast- and slow-growing countries. For …Read More

Crisis Program Review

Gottlieb, Geoff, N’Diaye, Papa, et al., (2015),“Crisis Program Review”, IMF, 9 Νοεμβρίου. This paper provides an updated review of Fund-supported programs undertaken during the global financial crisis. It follows a series of previous reviews during 2009–12 that assessed program design and outcomes during the surge in Fund supported programs since 2008. The review covers experience during 2008–15 for 32 arrangements financed from the Fund’s general resources account (GRA). It covers 27 countries for which …Read More

European Public Finances and the Great Recession: France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom Compared

Bozio, Antoine, Emmerson, Carl, Peichl, Andreas, Tetlow, Gemma, (2015), “European Public Finances and the Great Recession: France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom Compared”,   Institute for Fiscal Studies, Volume 36, Issue 4, 2015. We compare economic trends over the financial crisis, and the tax and benefit reforms implemented in response, across six EU countries. Countries where the crisisled to a relatively greater increase in public spending than a decline in tax …Read More

Debt Maturity : Does It Matter for Fiscal Space?

Kim, Jun Il, (2015), “Debt Maturity : Does It Matter for Fiscal Space?”, IMF Papers, 9 Δεκεμβρίου. This paper examines how debt maturity affects the debt limit, defined as the maximum amount of debt a government can afford without defaulting. We develop a model where investors are risk neutral, the primary balance is stochastic but exogenous, and default occurs solely due to the government’s inability to pay. We find that debt …Read More

Financial regulatory transparency: new data and implications for EU policy

Copelovitch, Mark, Gandrud, Christopher, Hallerberg, Mark, (2015), “Financial regulatory transparency: new data and implications for EU policy”, Bruguel Publications, Issue 2015/20, 10 Δεκεμβρίου. This paper introduces a new international financial regulatory data transparency index – the Financial Regulatory Transparency (FRT) Index – in order to address the exisiting gap in measuring regulatory transparency. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις  Gandrud, Christopher, Hallerberg, Mark, (2015), “Does Banking Union Worsen the EU’s Democratic Deficit? The Need for Greater Supervisory Data Transparency”, Journal …Read More

Countries under Adjustment Programmes: What role for the ECB?

Gros, Daniel, (2015), “Countries under Adjustment Programmes: What role for the ECB?”, CEPS, 10 Δεκεμβρίου. Providing ‘technical assistance/advice’ on programmes for countries under financial stress is well within the mandate of the European Central Bank (ECB). Being fully part of the Troika, however, is a different role. Formally the ECB does not participate in the ‘decision-making’ on programmes (decisions are taken by the Finance Ministers – and the IMF). However, the …Read More

Fiscal Consolidation During Times of High Unemployment: The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Restraint

Lama, Ruy, Guzman Medina, Juan Pablo, (2015), “Fiscal Consolidation During Times of High Unemployment: The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Restraint”, IMF Papers, 10 Δεκεμβρίου. This paper studies the Swedish fiscal consolidation episode of the 1990s through the lens of a small open economy model with distortionary taxation and unemployment. We argue that the simultaneous reduction in the fiscal deficit and unemployment rate in this episode stems from two factors: (i) high …Read More

ECB roils markets with disappointing stimulus package

Ruparel, Raoul, (2015), ” ECB roils markets with disappointing stimulus package”, Open Europe blog, 4 Δεκέμβριου Markets across Europe were down sharply yesterday after the ECB significantly disappointed expectations in terms of further easing. As the dust settle many will rightly be wondering why exactly market expectations became so dislocated from actual ECB thinking and what this means for the longer term. Open Europe’s Raoul Ruparel, who warned the ECB could …Read More