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Financial structure and growth revisited

Langfield, Sam, Pagano, Marco, (2016), “Financial structure and growth revisited”, Voxeu, 1 Φεβρουαρίου Why is growth in Europe so low? Among the contributing factors, this column highlights the role of financial structure. Intermediation in Europe is heavily bank-based, and the authors’ novel empirical findings indicate that such a structure exerts a negative effect on long-run economic growth and exacerbates its response to sharp drops in real estate prices. The findings support policymakers’ efforts to rebalance …Read More

Fiscal cost of refugees in Europe

Ruist, Joakim, (2016), “Fiscal cost of refugees in Europe”, Voxeu, 28 Ιανουαρίου The current inflow of refugees into Europe has left policymakers in disagreement over how to react. A major concern is the perceived financial burden that can result from large intakes. This column discusses the fiscal impact of refugees on the Swedish economy. The current net redistribution from the non-refugee population to refugees (excluding arrivals in 2015) is estimated to …Read More

The Case For Universal Support For European Families

Arendt, Daphne, (2016), “The Case For Universal Support For European Families”, Social Europe Journal, 1 Φεβρουαρίου Austerity measures introduced during the crisis have disproportionately concerned cuts in the measures that are most vital for reducing child poverty: cash and tax benefits, a new Eurofound report shows. Furthermore, there has been a move away from universal coverage towards more targeted support. Of course, it makes good sense for governments to target …Read More

On the correction of Eurozone external imbalances and the pitfalls of bilateral imbalance measures

Di Mauro, Filippo, Nagengast, Arne, Stehrer, Robert, (2016), “On the correction of Eurozone external imbalances and the pitfalls of bilateral imbalance measures”, Voxeu, 29 Ιανουαρίου Now the worst of the Eurozone Crisis has passed, one question that emerges is whether improving current account balances should be an objective for policymakers. And if so, what tools are available? This column argues that because of the emergence of global value chains, trade imbalances within the Eurozone …Read More

Labour market reforms, growth and inequality: Evidence from a new dataset

F. Campos, Nauro, B Nugent, Jeffrey, (2016), “Labour market reforms, growth and inequality: Evidence from a new dataset”, Voxeu, 28 Ιανουαρίου Labour market liberalisation is one of the most important structural reforms, and yet one of the least well understood. The conventional view is that such reforms increase welfare and improve economic performance.For example, changes in employment laws that lower the costs of hiring and firing workers encourage job separations, increase job creation …Read More

Break The Vicious Circle Of Falling Prices And Wages

Janssen, Ronald, (2016), “Break The Vicious Circle Of Falling Prices And Wages”, Social Europe Journal, 27 Ιανουαρίου The IMF has recently released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) pointing to persistently weak growth and another downward revision of its projected growth rates for 2016 and 2017 by 0.2 percentage points in each year. Despite this, the IMF’s growth trajectory still sees the world economy recovering slightly from the weakness it …Read More

Flexible Fiscal Rules and Countercyclical Fiscal Policy

Guerguil, Martine, Mandon, Pierre, Tapsoba, Rene, (2016), ” Flexible Fiscal Rules and Countercyclical Fiscal Policy”, IMF Working Paper No. 16/8, 22 Ιανουαρίου We are very grateful to Jean-Louis Combes and Alexandru Minea for their valuable comments and suggestions. The paper also benefited from useful discussions and comments from Vitor Gaspar, Abdelhak Senhadji, Paulo Medas, Marialuz Moreno Badia, Xavier Debrun, Mousse Sow, Sampawende Tapsoba, Dell’Erba Salvatore, Tigran Poghosyan, Estelle Liu, and participants at the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department …Read More

Bad banks and rude awakenings: Italian banks at a crossroads

Merler, Sylvia, (2016), “Bad banks and rude awakenings: Italian banks at a crossroads”, Bruegel publications, 26 Ιανουαρίου Taking a step back, it is important to understand what could be behind the sudden change in market sentiment. Borrowing a literary expression, this is to some extent the chronicle of a death foretold. Italian banks have been very resilient to the first wave of financial crisis in 2008, due to the low …Read More

Balance-of-Payments Adjustment in the Eurozone

Micossi, Stefano, (2016), “Balance-of-Payments Adjustment in the Eurozone”, CEPS publications, 22 Ιανουαρίου This policy contribution describes the unresolved adjustment problems confronting the eurozone, and places them in historical perspective by comparing developments in key real economic variables under EMU with those observed under the Bretton Woods system. The main finding is that the eurozone is afflicted by a strong deflationary bias and that, therefore, under current trends, deep economic and …Read More

2016 already puts its mark on the economic map of Europe

Emerson, Michael, (2016), “2016 already puts its mark on the economic map of Europe”, Ceps publications, 8 Ιανουαρίου The start of 2016 brought highly symbolic changes to the trade policy map of Europe between the EU- and Russian-led blocs, as the EU’s Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) with Ukraine entered into force provisionally, while Russia moved in precisely the opposite direction by scrapping its free trade agreement with …Read More