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Analysis of developments in EU capital flows in the global context

Darvas, Zoslt, Merler, Sylvia, Huttl, Pia, Walsh, Thomas, (2016), “Analysis of developments in EU capital flows in the global context”, Bruegel, 28 Ιανουαρίου Free movement of capital, which is one of the four fundamental economic freedoms of the European Union, can enhance welfare if it leads to better allocation of financial and productive resources. However, it can also be a source of vulnerability, with far-reaching spillovers. Monitoring and assessing capital …Read More

On the correction of Eurozone external imbalances and the pitfalls of bilateral imbalance measures

Di Mauro, Filippo, Nagengast, Arne, Stehrer, Robert, (2016), “On the correction of Eurozone external imbalances and the pitfalls of bilateral imbalance measures”, Voxeu, 29 Ιανουαρίου Now the worst of the Eurozone Crisis has passed, one question that emerges is whether improving current account balances should be an objective for policymakers. And if so, what tools are available? This column argues that because of the emergence of global value chains, trade imbalances within the Eurozone …Read More

The Global Economy’s Marshmallow Test

Sachs, Jeffrey, (2016), “The Global Economy’s Marshmallow Test”, Project Syndicate, 27 Ιανουαρίου The world economy is experiencing a turbulent start to 2016. Stock markets are plummeting; emerging economies are reeling in response to the sharp decline in commodities prices; refugee inflows are further destabilizing Europe; China’s growth has slowed markedly in response to a capital-flow reversal and an overvalued currency; and the US is in political paralysis. A few central …Read More

Break The Vicious Circle Of Falling Prices And Wages

Janssen, Ronald, (2016), “Break The Vicious Circle Of Falling Prices And Wages”, Social Europe Journal, 27 Ιανουαρίου The IMF has recently released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) pointing to persistently weak growth and another downward revision of its projected growth rates for 2016 and 2017 by 0.2 percentage points in each year. Despite this, the IMF’s growth trajectory still sees the world economy recovering slightly from the weakness it …Read More

Flexible Fiscal Rules and Countercyclical Fiscal Policy

Guerguil, Martine, Mandon, Pierre, Tapsoba, Rene, (2016), ” Flexible Fiscal Rules and Countercyclical Fiscal Policy”, IMF Working Paper No. 16/8, 22 Ιανουαρίου We are very grateful to Jean-Louis Combes and Alexandru Minea for their valuable comments and suggestions. The paper also benefited from useful discussions and comments from Vitor Gaspar, Abdelhak Senhadji, Paulo Medas, Marialuz Moreno Badia, Xavier Debrun, Mousse Sow, Sampawende Tapsoba, Dell’Erba Salvatore, Tigran Poghosyan, Estelle Liu, and participants at the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department …Read More

European Bank Resolution: Making it work!

Ceps, (2016), “European Bank Resolution: Making it work!”, Interim Report of the Ceps Task Force on Implementing Financial Sector Resolution, Ιανουάριος From the start of 2016, new rules for bank resolution are in place – as spelled out in the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) – across the EU, and a new authority (the Single Resolution Board, or SRB) is fully operational for resolving all banks in the eurozone.The …Read More

Bad banks and rude awakenings: Italian banks at a crossroads

Merler, Sylvia, (2016), “Bad banks and rude awakenings: Italian banks at a crossroads”, Bruegel publications, 26 Ιανουαρίου Taking a step back, it is important to understand what could be behind the sudden change in market sentiment. Borrowing a literary expression, this is to some extent the chronicle of a death foretold. Italian banks have been very resilient to the first wave of financial crisis in 2008, due to the low …Read More

Emerging Markets Fear Yellen, But Need To Keep Their Eye On Draghi

Steil, Benn, Smith, Emma, (2016), “Emerging Markets Fear Yellen, But Need To Keep Their Eye On Draghi”, Forbes, 22 Ιανουαρίου In anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in nearly a decade, $500 billion in capital outflows slammed emerging markets (EMs) last year–a slow-motion version of the 2013 “taper tantrum,” when the Fed signaled that the era of quantitative easing was coming to an end.  Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Minenna, Marcello, (2016), “How …Read More

German Exports And The Eurozone

Wren Lewis, Simon, (2016), “German Exports And The Eurozone”, Social Europe Journal, 24 Ιανουαρίου I have argued that the low level of German wage increases before the financial crisis were a significant destabilising influence on the Eurozone, which also indirectly contributed to Germany taking a hard line on austerity. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Turner, A. (2014) “Germany’s Secret Credit Addiction“, Project Syndicate, 10 Νοεμβρίου. The Economist Explains: “Why the German economy is in a …Read More

Six Questions for Europe

Bocchi, Alessandro Magnoli, (2016), “Six Questions for Europe”, Εconomonitor Blog, Ιανουάριος. Europe is in decline. To avoid decay, it needs to bridge the gap between aspirations and reality. As practiced, democracy is failing citizens and needs rethinking. Below-replacement fertility rates put the welfare state at risk. Rigid social structures induce risk-aversion and stifle innovation. Immigration-without-integration erodes social cohesion. Without fresh thinking at the macro and micro level, growth will stagnate. Going …Read More