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On domestic demand and export performance in the euro area countries: does export concentration matter?

Paulo Soares Esteves, Elvira Prades, (2016), “On domestic demand and export performance in the euro area countries: does export concentration matter?“, ECB Working Paper 1909, Μαϊος 2016 During economic downturns, weak domestic demand developments seem to be an additional driver of exports, as firms increase their efforts to serve markets abroad to compensate the fall in domestic sales. This may constitute an additional mechanism adjustment for the euro area countries where …Read More

Fiscal Buffers, Private Debt, and Stagnation : The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Nicoletta Batini, Giovanni Melina, Stefania Villa, (2016), “Fiscal Buffers, Private Debt, and Stagnation : The Good, the Bad and the Ugly”, IMF WP No. 16/104 We revisit the empirical relationship between private/public debt and output, and build a model that reproduces it. In the model, the government provides financial assistance to credit-constrained agents to mitigate deleveraging. As we observe in the data, surges in private debt are potentially more damaging for …Read More

Safeguarding the euro as a currency beyond the state

Ad van Riet, (2016), “Safeguarding the euro as a currency beyond the state“, ECB Occasional Papers No 173 / Μάϊος This paper reviews the debate on the longer-term requirements for safeguarding the euro as a currency beyond the state that is anchored through collective governance instead of a central government. The strengthening of EU economic and financial governance in the wake of the euro area crisis goes a long way towards creating …Read More

Competition, Growth and Regulatory Heterogeneity in Europe’s Digital Economy

Matthias Bauer, Fredrik Erixon, (2016), “Competition, Growth and Regulatory Heterogeneity in Europe’s Digital Economy”, ECIPE Working paper No 2/2016, Απρίλιος Far too many policymakers in Europe have a confused vision about the policy conditions required for Europe to grow its digital economy. Their habits of thought – a sense of what is reasonable, necessary and inevitable – are now deeply embedded in the EU’s endeavours of digital policymaking. Digital underperformance, as …Read More

Interaction between monetary policy and bank regulation: lessons for the ECB

Dąbrowski, Marek, (2016), “Interaction between monetary policy and bank regulation: lessons for the ECB”, CASE Networks Studies & Analyses No 480 2/2016 The European Central Bank (ECB) recently became engaged in macro-prudential policies and the micro-prudential supervision of the largest Euro area banks. These new tasks should help complete financial integration, and make the Euro area more resilient to financial instability risks. However, the multiplicity of mandates and instruments involves a risk of …Read More

A general theory of austerity

Wren-Lewis,Simon, (2016), “A general theory of austerity”, BSG-WP-2016/014, Μάιος 2016 Austerity is defined as a fiscal contraction that causes a significant increase in aggregate unemployment. For the global economy, or an economy with a flexible exchange rate, or a monetary union as a whole, an increase in unemployment following a fiscal consolidation can and should be avoided because monetary policy can normally offset the demand impact of the consolidation. The tragedy …Read More

Sovereign debt issuance and selective default

Paczos, Wojtek, Shakhnov,Kirill, (2016), “Sovereign debt issuance and selective default”, EUI Working Paper ECO 2016/04 We propose a novel theory to explain why sovereigns borrow on both domestic and international markets and why defaults are mostly selective (on either domestic or foreign investors). Domestic debt issuance can only smooth tax distortion shocks, whereas foreign debt can also smooth productivity shocks. If the correlation of these shocks is sufficiently low, the …Read More

Three essays in labour economics

Gama Nogueira, André, (2016), “Three essays in labour economics”, Florence : European University Institute, 2016 This thesis investigates labour market policies and the way they interact with labour market frictions. The first chapter of this thesis is dedicated to the introduction of a new method to measure skills mismatch in the labour market. By introducing a new index that uses employment distribution across sectors to measure labour demand and education distribution …Read More

Fiscal austerity, unemployment and family firms

Munkacsi Zsuzsa, (2016), “Fiscal austerity, unemployment and family firms”, Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper; 2015/06 I calculate unemployment multipliers of fiscal consolidation policies in a standard, closed-economy New Keynesian framework with search and matching frictions, and, as an innovation, in the presence of sectoral heterogeneity. Family and non-family firms behave differently in the labor market and are differently managed. This latter assumption is modeled by the inclusion of intangible capital in the …Read More

Promoting sustainable public finances in the European Union: The role of fiscal rules and government efficiency

U. Michael Bergman, Michael M. Hutchison, Svend E. Hougaard Jensen, (2016), “Promoting sustainable public finances in the European Union: The role of fiscal rules and government efficiency”, European Journal of Political Economy, 3 Μαϊου New indices of fiscal rule strength are constructed and, using a dynamic panel econometric model for 27 EU countries over the period 1990–2012, we assess whether national fiscal rules alone help to promote sustainable public finances in the …Read More