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Europe’s Lost Keynesians

Rogoff, Kenneth, (2013), “Europe’s Lost Keynesians”, www.project-syndicate.org, 23 Μαΐου. There is no magic Keynesian bullet for the eurozone’s woes. But the spectacularly muddle-headed argument nowadays that too much austerity is killing Europe is not surprising. Commentators are consumed by politics, flailing away at any available target, while the “anti-austerity” masses apparently believe that there are easy cyclical solutions to tough structural problems.

Foreign Borrowing in the Euro Area Periphery: The End Is Near

Higgins, Matthew, Klitgaard, Thomas, (2013), “Foreign Borrowing in the Euro Area Periphery: The End Is Near”, Federal Reserve of New York, 22 Μαΐου. Current account deficits in euro area periphery countries have now largely disappeared. This represents a substantial adjustment. Only two years ago, deficits stood at nearly 10 percent of GDP in Greece and Portugal and 5 percent in Spain and Italy.

Does fairness matter for the success of fiscal consolidation?”

Kaplanoglou, G., Rapanos, V. & Bardakas, I., (2013), “Does fairness matter for the success of fiscal consolidation?” , University of Athens-Department of Economics, Economic Discussion Reports, N. 2013/6. Does it matter for fiscal consolidation programs to be fair in order to be successful? This question has never been empirically addressed despite its profound importance especially since many developed countries have embarked on fiscal consolidation programs, which in many cases have …Read More

Beware the Warrants

Pagratis, Spyros, (2013), “Beware the Warrants”, Greek Economists for Reform.com, 20 Μαΐου. Current provisions for a too-early exit of the Hellenic Financial Stability Fund from Greek banks risk creating self-reinforcing market dislocations. By offering too many free warrants to private investors, at predetermined exercise prices, share prices of Greek banks could be driven consistently away from fundamentals. That could undermine the smooth transition to full private-sector ownership of the Greek …Read More

Learning about growth from austerity

Spence, Michael, (2013), “Learning about growth from austerity”,  www.project-syndicate.org, 18 Μαΐου. In a recent set of studies, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used a vast array of historical data to show that the accumulation of high levels of public (and private) debt relative to GDP has an extended negative effect on growth. The size of the effect incited debate about errors in their calculations. Few, however, doubt the validity of …Read More

EU-IMF assistance to euro area countries: an early assessment

Pisani-Ferry, Jean,  Sapir, André & Wolff, Guntram, (2013), EU-IMF assistance to euro area countries: an early assessment, Bruegel. Three years ago, in May 2010, Greece became the first euro-area country to receive financial assistance from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund in exchange for implementing an economic programme designed by the Troika of the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the IMF. Within a year, Ireland and Portugal went …Read More

Did the euro kill governance in the periphery

Villaverde, Jesus Fernandez, Garikano, Luis, Santos, Tano, (2013), “Did the euro kill governance in the periphery” , www.voxeu.org, 30 Απριλίου. By the end of the 1990s, under the incentive of Eurozone entry, most peripheral European countries were busy undertaking structural reforms and putting their fiscal houses in order. This column argues that the arrival of the euro, and the subsequent interest-rate convergence, loosened a tide of cheap money that reversed …Read More

How Germany Benefits from the Euro in Economic Terms

Petersen, Thieß, (2013), “How Germany Benefits from the Euro in Economic Terms”, Bertelsmann Stiftung, 29 Απριλίου. There can be no doubt about the fact that Germany benefits from the euro in a significant number of ways. For example, monetary union membership helps to reduce the cost of international trade, and provides protection against excessive exchange rate volatility. This means that even if Germany had to write off a large percentage …Read More

Youth unemployment-Does the EU care about it’s future?

Dheret, Claire, (2013), “Youth unemployment-Does the EU care about it’s future?” , European Policy Centre Publications, Policy Brief, April 2013. Youth unemployment levels in Europe are hitting new highs: more than 5.7 million (23.6%) young people in the European Union (EU) were without a job in January 2013. These figures, and more generally the growing number of NEETs (young people not in employment, education or training), pose a serious challenge …Read More