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Should non-euro area countries join the single supervisory mechanism?

Darvas, Zsolt, Guntram, Wolff, “Should non-euro area countries join the single supervisory mechanism?”, Bruegel Policy Contribution, Issue 2013/06. Irrespective of the euro crisis, a European banking union makes sense, including for non-euro area countries, because of the extent of European Union financial integration. The Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) is the first element of the banking union. From the point of view of non-euro countries, the draft SSM regulation as amended …Read More

Macroeconomics and Politics in the Accumulation of Greece’s Debt: An econometric investigation, 1975-2009

Alogoskoufis, George, (2013), “Macroeconomics and Politics in the Accumulation of Greece’s Debt: An econometric investigation, 1975-2009“, The Hellenic Observatory European Institute London School of Economics & Political Science. This paper focuses on an econometric investigation of the macroeconomic and political factors that contributed to Greece’s excessive debt accumulation and its failure to adequately address its fiscal imbalances, from the restoration of democracy in 1974 till the crisis of 2009. The …Read More

Quarterly report on the euro area-1/2013

European Commission, (2013), Quarterly report on the euro area, 1/2013. The focus section of this edition takes a look at the growth convergence experiences of euro area Member States following the introduction of the euro. Generally speaking, faster growth in relatively poorer countries has helped to narrow income gaps between EU Member States, but this convergence process is weaker for euro area members and appears to have stalled a few …Read More

The Europe barometer points to stormy weather

Lannoo, Karel, (2013), “The Europe barometer points to stormy weather”, The Centre for European Policy Studies, 17 Φεβρουαρίου. Against the current background of a sharp decline in public support for the EU and an emerging reinforced centre to manage the euro crisis, this commentary finds that the only way Europe’s leaders can hope to keep the fragile equilibrium afloat is to summon up the courage to go forward with concrete …Read More

Can Europe recover without credit?

Darvas, Zsolt, (2013), ‘Can Europe recover without credit?’, Bruegel Policy Contribution, Issue 2013/13. Data from 135 countries covering five decades suggests that creditless recoveries, in which the stock of real credit does not return to the pre-crisis level for three years after the GDP trough, are not rare and are characterised by remarkable real GDP growth rates: 4.7 percent per year in middle-income countries and 3.2 percent per year in …Read More

From Supervision to Resolution: Next Steps on the Road to European Banking Union

Veron, Nicolas, Wolff, Guntram B., (2013), “From Supervision to Resolution: Next Steps on the Road to European Banking Union”, The Peterson Institute for International Economics. Special resolution regimes for banks and systemically important financial institutions are an attractive alternative to both insolvency and public bailouts and have a compelling track record. The European Council has outlined a policy sequence of three successive steps including the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), the …Read More

Smart choices for growth

Ζachmann, George, (2012), ‘Smart choices for growth’,  Bruegel, 28 Νοεμβρίου. Recovery in Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain is held back in part by structural barriers. Overcoming these requires structural reform and public investment. Given the limited availability of political and financial capital, prioritising reform efforts and spending is important, but difficult. The different success factors for individual sectors are complementary. Using the example of the high-tech industry, we make the case …Read More

Europe’s Debt Crisis Endgames—Stealth Solutions

Satyajit, Das, (2013), ‘Europe’s Debt Crisis Endgames—Stealth Solutions’, www.economonitor.com, 24 Ιανουαρίου. In his novella Chronicle of a Death Foretold (Crónica de Una Muerte Anunciada in the original Spanish), Gabriel Garcia Marquez commences at the end of the story gradually revealing the events leading up to a murder. The non-linear telling creates an unusual tension. With the conclusion known, only the precise steps leading to the tragedy remain unclear. The probable endgame of Europe’s …Read More