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Yes, it’s the economy, stupid, but is it demand or supply?

De Grauwe, P., (2014), “Yes, it’s the economy, stupid, but is it demand or supply?”, Economic Policy, CEPS Commentaries, Centre for European Policy Studies, 24 Ιανουαρίου. The change in policy strategy of François Hollande and his embrace of Say’s law are surprising on another count. As mentioned earlier, supply-side economics together with a rejection of demand management is based on an ideological premise that markets have self-regulating characteristics, and that unemployment will …Read More

Europe Can Be Optimistic—in the Long Term

Nixon, S., (2014), “Europe Can Be Optimistic—in the Long Term”, The Wall Street Journal, 26 Ιανουαρίου. How one thinks about the outlook for Europe depends partly on whether one regards high unemployment, rising inequality and loss of trust as a leading or lagging indicator. Has the European economy undergone a structural shift in which case high unemployment and growing inequality could be harbingers of worsening political instability? Or do today’s …Read More

European merger policy reform

Duso, T.,  Gugler, K. and Szücs, Fl., (2014), “European merger policy reform”, VoxEu, 26 Ιανουαρίου. In 2004, European merger law was substantially revised, with the aim of achieving a ‘more economic approach’ to merger policy. This column discusses a recent empirical assessment of European merger cases before and after the reform. Post-reform, the outcomes of merger cases became more predictable, and the Commission prohibited fewer pro-competitive mergers. While there remains …Read More

A Disillusioned Guide to Spread Reductions

Giuli, M., (2014), “A Disillusioned Guide to Spread Reductions”, Madariaga Paper – Vol. 7, No. 1, Ιανουάριος. The present commentary will focus on the case of Italy, where in January 2014 the spread fell to under 200 points, recording a reduction of 80 points over the previous year. The current differential between Italian and German 10-year sovereign bond yields is back to 2011 levels, when the imminent risk of losing …Read More

Efficient retail payments: An untapped source for reviving growth in Europe?

Hasan, If. And Takalo, T., (2014), “Efficient retail payments: An untapped source for reviving growth in Europe?”, 24 Ιανουαρίου. Efficient retail payments are associated not only with lower direct costs but also with indirect benefits, and ultimately – with enhanced economic growth. This column presents research on different retail payment habits in the Eurozone. A correlation exists between the forms of payment in a country and its recent economic fortune. …Read More

Europe’s Top-Down Myopia

Barysch, K., (2014), “Europe’s Top-Down Myopia”, Project Syndicate, 22 Ιανουαρίου. The EU is undergoing fundamental changes, many of which have gone largely unnoticed, owing to the overwhelming focus on large-scale top-down reforms. Officials seem not to recognize change unless it takes the form of Eurobonds, new European treaties, or policy reversals by German Chancellor Angela Merkel. But the case for small steps guided by market mechanisms is strong. Europe’s obsession with …Read More

Working for the Few

Oxfam, (2014), “Working for the Few”, 178 Oxfam Briefing Paper, 20 Ιανουαρίου Economic inequality is rapidly increasing in the majority of  countries. The wealth of the world is divided in two: almost half going to the richest one percent; the other half to the remaining 99 percent. The World Economic Forum has identified this as a major risk to human progress. Extreme economic inequality and political capture are too often …Read More

Is the Tide Rising?

IMF, (2014), “Is the Tide Rising?”, World Economic Outlook Update, Ιανουάριος. Global activity strengthened during the second half of 2013, as anticipated in the October 2013 World Economic Outlook (WEO). Activity is expected to improve further in 2014–15, largely on account of recovery in the advanced economies. Global growth is now projected to be slightly higher in 2014, at around 3.7 percent, rising to 3.9 percent in 2015, a broadly unchanged …Read More

Employment and Social Developments in Europe 2013

European Commission, (2014), Employment and Social Developments in Europe 2013, Brussels. This year’s report offers an in-depth and wide-ranging review of key labour market and social challenges facing the EU as it slowly emerges from recession. Where will Europe’s new jobs come from in an increasingly competitive global economy? Will active inclusion policies support help address rising levels of poverty among those of working age? Will the improvement in the …Read More

“Migration as an Adjustment Mechanism in the Crisis? A Comparison of Europe and the United States”

Jauer, J., Liebig, T., Martin, J. and Puhani, P., (2014), “Migration as an Adjustment Mechanism in the Crisis? A Comparison of Europe and the United States”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers 155, OECD Publishing. The question of whether migration can be an equilibrating force in the labour market is an important criterion for an optimal currency area. It is of particular interest currently in the context of high …Read More