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A genie in a bottle: Inflation, globalisation, and competition

Dan Andrews, Peter Gal, William Witheridge, (2018), “A genie in a bottle: Inflation, globalisation, and competition”, VoxEU, 11 Μαΐου Markets and commentators are speculating that there may be a sustained pick-up in inflation in the US, after years of subdued price pressures. Along with continued solid US jobs growth and low unemployment, there are tentative signs of higher wage growth and the fiscal stimulus will also boost short-term growth. Global …Read More

Real convergence in central, eastern and south-eastern Europe

Piotr Żuk, Eva Katalin Polgar, Li Savelin, Juan Luis Diaz del Hoyo and Paul König, (2018), “Real convergence in central, eastern and south-eastern Europe”, ECB, 10 Μαΐου This article establishes stylised facts about convergence and analyses the sources of economic growth in central, eastern and south-eastern European (CESEE) economies within and outside the European Union (EU).22 It also compares the performance across countries and identifies the challenges that these economies …Read More

Financial literacy and inclusive growth in the European Union

Uuriintua Batsaikhan and Maria Demertzis, (2018), “Financial literacy and inclusive growth in the European Union”, Bruegel, 9 Μαΐου Growing financialization and complexity demands financial literacy to be an integral part of the research agenda and policy design globally. It applies particularly to developed countries, since research findings suggest that financial literacy becomes more important with higher levels of economic development. Financial literacy is financial education, such as basic economics, statistics …Read More

Risk reduction and risk sharing in EU fiscal policymaking: The role of better fiscal rules

Roel Beetsma, Martin Larch, (2018), “Risk reduction and risk sharing in EU fiscal policymaking: The role of better fiscal rules”, VoxEU, 9 Μαΐου The CEPR Policy Insight by 14 French and German economists (Bénassy-Quéré et al. 2018) marks a crucial stage in a long-lasting debate on how to reform the euro area. It offers a convincing synthesis in a discussion which until then had been held hostage by diametrically opposed …Read More

The Rise of Shadow Banking: Evidence from Capital Regulation

Rustom M Irani, Rajkamal Iyer, Ralf Meisenzahl, José Luis Peydró, (2018), “The Rise of Shadow Banking: Evidence from Capital Regulation”, CEPR, Μάιος We investigate the connections between bank capital regulation and the prevalence of lightly regulated nonbanks (shadow banks) in the U.S. corporate loan market. For identification, we exploit a supervisory credit register of syndicated loans, loan-time fixed-effects, and shocks to capital requirements arising from surprise features of the U.S. …Read More

How large is the proposed decline in EU agricultural and cohesion spending?

ZSOLT DARVAS,  NICOLAS MOËS, (2018), “How large is the proposed decline in EU agricultural and cohesion spending?”, Bruegel, 4 Μαΐου While the European Commission’s main communication and the various accompanying factsheets clearly compare the current and the next MFF for many spending items – like research, investments, digital transformation, migration and border management, security, defence, and neighbourhood and the world – no document presents a comparison of current and future …Read More

Euro area bank interest rate statistics: Μάρτιος 2018

ECB/Euro area bank interest rate statistics: Μάρτιος 2018 • The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator for new loans to corporations remained broadly unchanged at 1.73% in March 2018. • The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator for new loans to households1 for house purchase remained unchanged at 1.84% in March 2018. • In the same month, the euro area composite interest rate for new deposits from corporations remained broadly unchanged at 0.10%, while the one …Read More

Assessing the impact of new European defence initiatives on transatlantic relations

Antonio Calcara, (2018), “Assessing the impact of new European defence initiatives on transatlantic relations”, Europp, LSE, 7 Μαΐου The next few months will be crucial for the development of the new Permanent Structured Cooperation on security and defence (PESCO). After the European Council’s agreement on the first seventeen collaborative projects to develop in this framework, member states will have to agree on a common set of rules to develop these …Read More

Can a European Capital Market Survive Brexit?

Howard Davies, (2018), “Can a European Capital Market Survive Brexit?”, Project Syndicate, 2 Μαΐου Almost 60 years of European construction had still not created anything approaching a single market for investment, and in many EU countries capital markets remained weak and underdeveloped. The worthy aim, Hill wrote, was “to identify the barriers to the cross-border flow of investment,” and “work out how to overcome them step by step.” There are …Read More

Financial globalisation and bank lending: The limits of domestic monetary policy

Jin Cao, Valeriya Dinger, (2018), “Financial globalisation and bank lending: The limits of domestic monetary policy”, VoxEU, 3 Μαΐου It has been widely accepted that banks’ credit supply to the real economy is affected by monetary policy. The well-established ‘bank lending channel’ of monetary policy states that, once monetary policy is tightened, banks face a higher funding cost in the domestic money market so they have to cut back their …Read More