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Monetary Policy: Past, Present and Future

Draghi, Mario, (2015), “Monetary Policy: Past, Present and Future”, Speech at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress, 20 Νοεμβρίου Τhe ECB’s monetary policy measures have clearly worked, in fact they are probably the dominant force spurring the recovery. They have been instrumental in arresting and reversing the deflationary pressures that hit the euro a year ago. Yet growth momentum remains weak and inflation remains well below our objective of below but …Read More

Counting on the EU – public opinion on welfare state reforms

Hüttl, Pia, (2015), “Counting on the EU – public opinion on welfare state reforms”, Bruegel Blog, 19 Νοεμβρίου. As part of the Vision Europe Summit, a survey was held from July-August 2015, to investigate public opinion on the welfare state after the crisis. This blog post is a follow up to an earlier blog, focusing this time on the role of the EU and the welfare state. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Hüttl, Pia,Wolff, Guntram, (2015), …Read More

The Greek and Icelandic IMF programmes compared

Katsimi, Margarita, Zoega, Gylfi, (2015), “The Greek and Icelandic IMF programmes compared”, Voxeu, 19 Νοεμβρίου. Iceland and Greece were both seriously affected by the Global Crisis, yet their experiences with the implemented IMF programmes have been quite different. In Iceland the programme has been a success, whereas the one in Greece has been a failure. This column explains why this happened. First, Iceland’s external debt was de jure private, while Greece’s …Read More

Naughty students or the wrong school: why is the European Semester proving ineffective?

Darvas, Zsolt, Leandro, Álvaro, (2015), “Naughty students or the wrong school: why is the European Semester proving ineffective?”, Bruegel Blog, 18 Νοεμβρίου. The fundamental problem of economic policy coordination in the EU is that national policymakers are accountable to their national parliaments and focus on national interests, which in many cases differ widely in different member states. It is therefore not all that surprising that economic policy coordination in the EU hardly …Read More

Alternative measures of government indebtedness

Dias, Daniel A., Wright, Mark L. J., (2015), “Alternative measures of government indebtedness”,Voxeu, 13 Νοεμβρίου. Measured as a percentage of its GDP, Greece’s debt is higher than that of Portugal and Ireland. This column discusses a range of new techniques for measuring the debts of Greece, Ireland, and Portugal. It argues that plausible alternative measures of indebtedness suggest that Greece is anywhere from as much as 50% more indebted than Portugal and …Read More

Charting public opinion on the future of the welfare state

Hüttl, Pia,Wolff, Guntram, (2015), “Charting public opinion on the future of the welfare state”, Bruegel Publications, 10 Νοεμβρίου. As part of the of the Vision Europe Summit, a survey was held between July and August 2015 to gauge public opinion on the welfare state after the crisis. The survey revealed citizens’ general confidence in the welfare state, as well as preferences regarding the welfare state’s future goals and financing. We discuss the …Read More

The macroeconomic effects of the Eurozone’s fiscal consolidation

Rannenberg, Ansgar, Schoder, Christian, Strasky, Jan, (2015), “The macroeconomic effects of the Eurozone’s fiscal consolidation”, Voxeu, 11 Νοεμβρίου. From 2011 to 2013, fiscal policy in the Eurozone turned progressively more restrictive. This column argues that output cost of fiscal consolidation strongly depends on presence and strength of credit constraints. With credit constraints both in the household and the firm sector, fiscal consolidation would be largely responsible for the weak growth performance during 2011-2013. …Read More

Short-sighted monetary policy and fear of liftoff

Orphanides, Athanasios, (2015), “Short-sighted monetary policy and fear of liftoff”, Voxeu, 11 Νοεμβρίου. There is generally consensus among macroeconomists that monetary policy works best when it is systematic. Following the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve Bank of the US shifted from long-term, systematic policy to short-term goals targeting unemployment. This column argues that, while these were appropriate in the aftermath of the downturn, such policy accommodations have been pursued for too long …Read More

External imbalances within the Eurozone: The Dutch disease explanation

Sy, Mouhamadou, (2015), “External imbalances within the Eurozone: The Dutch disease explanation”, Voxeu, 9 Νοεμβρίου One of the most prominent features of the Eurozone Crisis has been the large current account deficit accumulated by countries at the periphery relative to those at the core (Baldwin and Giavazzi 2015). These imbalances (see Figure 1) are commonly attributed to differences in competitiveness as manifested in persistent differences in the unit labour costs, …Read More

Eurozone crisis: Looking back to the future

Kaminsky, Graciela L., (2015),  “Eurozone crisis: Looking back to the future”, Voxeu, 8 Νοεμβρίου The Eurozone crisis is still lingering. While in the last couple of months only Greece’s debt woes have been at the centre of public attention, vulnerabilities across countries in the Eurozone are not fading away. Europe is still mired in a long depression, and debt problems are still escalating. While it is true that Ireland, Portugal, and …Read More