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The Perils of Debt Complacency

Reinhart, Carmen, (2016), “The Perils of Debt Complacency”, Project Syndicate, 28 Σεπτεμβρίου “What a government spends the public pays for. There is no such thing as an uncovered deficit.” So said John Maynard Keynes in A Tract on Monetary Reform. But Robert Skidelsky, the author of a magisterial three-volume biography of Keynes, disagrees. In a recent commentary entitled “The Scarecrow of National Debt,” Skidelsky offered a rather patronizing narrative, in a …Read More

The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017

Schwab, K., (2016), “The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017”, World Economic Forum, 28 Σεπτεμβρίου The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017 is being launched at a time of rising income inequality, mounting social and political tensions, and a general feeling of uncertainty about the future. Growth remains persistently low: commodity prices have fallen, as has trade; external imbalances are increasing; and government finances are stressed. However, it also comes during one of the …Read More

Why far right parties do well at times of crisis: the role of labour market institutions

Vlandas, Tim, Halikiopoulou, Daphne, (2016), “Why far right parties do well at times of crisis: the role of labour market institutions”, European Trade Union Institute, Ιούλιος The far right is on the rise in many western and eastern European countries. The 2008 Eurozone crisis is an obvious source of blame for this phenomenon; indeed, a large body of literature suggests that economic malaise prompts support for far right parties. This conventional wisdom, however, is …Read More

What Else Can Central Banks Do?

Ball, Laurence, Gagnon, Joseph, Honohan, Patrick, Krogstrup, Signe, (2016), “What Else Can Central Banks Do?”, ICMB – CEPR, Geneva Reports on the World Economy 18, Σεπτέμβριος The Geneva Reports on the World Economy are published annually by CEPR and ICMB and have been providing innovative analysis on important topical issues facing the global economy since 1999. This 18th report focuses on what central banks can do to stimulate economies when interest rates …Read More

The objectives of financial stability policy

Tucker, Paul, (2016), “The objectives of financial stability policy”, VoxEU, 28 Σεπτεμβρίου The objective of financial stability policy is unclear. Is it the resilience of the financial system, avoiding the costs of systemic collapse, or managing the credit cycle, containing the costs of resource misallocation and over-indebtedness? This column argues that the answers have serious implications for what can decently be delegated to independent ‘macroprudential authorities’, but have barely been debated …Read More

Secular Stagnation or Self-Inflicted Malaise?

Sinn, Hans-Werner, (2016), “Secular Stagnation or Self-Inflicted Malaise?”, Project Syndicate, 27 Σεπτεμβρίου Almost exactly eight years ago, the Lehman Brothers collapse plunged the global economy into recession. The interbank market collapsed, and the entire industrialized world was thrown into the worst crisis since the end of World War II. Though central banks have maintained ultra-low interest rates, the crisis hasn’t yet been fully overcome. On the contrary, numerous economies, such as …Read More

Bye-bye covered interest parity

Borio, Claudio, McCauley, Robert, McGuire, Patrick, Sushko, Vladyslav, (2016), “Bye-bye covered interest parity”, VoxEU, 28 Σεπτεμβρίου Covered interest parity is close to a physical law in international finance, yet it has been consistently violated since the Global Crisis. Violations since 2014, once banks had strengthened their balance sheets and regained easy access to funding, are especially puzzling. This column argues that the violation reflects a combination of foreign exchange hedging demand …Read More

Who Borrows from the Lender of Last Resort?

Drechsler, Itamar, Drechsel, Thomas, Marques-Ibanez, David, Schnabl, Philipp, (2016), “Who Borrows from the Lender of Last Resort?”, The Journal of Finance, 14 Σεπτεμβρίου We analyze lender of last resort (LOLR) lending during the European sovereign debt crisis. Using a novel data set on all central bank lending and collateral, we show that weakly capitalized banks took out more LOLR loans and used riskier collateral than strongly capitalized banks. We also find …Read More

Low long-term rates: bond bubble or symptom of secular stagnation?

Claeys, Grégory, (2016), “Low long-term rates: bond bubble or symptom of secular stagnation?”, Bruegel, 26 Σεπτεμβρίου Yields on European sovereign bonds have reached historically low levels in 2016. This secular decline in long-term sovereign yields is not limited to the euro area. Why are interest rates currently so low? Are low long-term trates justified by fundamental factors or is it an artificial phenomenon? Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Kozlowski, Julian, Veldkamp, Laura, Venkateswaran, Venky, (2016), “The …Read More

Are OECD policy recommendations for public sector reform biased against welfare states? Evidence from a new database

Bergh, Andreas, Dackehag, Margareta, Rode, Martin, “Are OECD policy recommendations for public sector reform biased against welfare states? Evidence from a new database”, European Journal of Political Economy, 20 Σεπτεμβρίου Policy advice by the OECD has long been at the heart of academic debates on welfare state reform, with frequent claims questioning the ideological orientation of recommendations. This paper constructs an indicator of perceived reform need for 24 countries, quantifying the policy advice contained in …Read More