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Entrepreneurship in Southern Europe: Symptom or Solution to the Euro Crisis?

Bauchowitz, St., (2014), “Entrepreneurship in Southern Europe: Symptom or Solution to the Euro Crisis?”, LSE Eurocrisis in the Press, 14 Φεβρουαρίου. Entrepreneurship has long been recognised as an important factor in generating economic growth[1], but the post gets the roots of Greece’s (not so new) entrepreneurship wrong. Where there are few employment possibilities people will have to become entrepreneurs – but these are subsistence entrepreneurs, which are quite distinct from …Read More

The eurozone crisis is just getting started

Warner, J., (2014), “The eurozone crisis is just getting started”, The Telegraph, 14 Φεβρουαρίου. On the face of it, they seem worlds apart. Switzerland’s referendum vote against the free movement of labour, the ruling by the German Constitutional Court on the European Central Bank’s (ECB) attempts to save the euro, and the warning to Scotland that it won’t be allowed to keep the pound if it votes for independence – …Read More

France and Germany must both change economic strategy

Sapir, A., (2014), “France and Germany must both change economic strategy”, Bruegel Blog, 13 Φεβρουαρίου. The euro was first and foremost a Franco-German project, not only politically but also economically. Thanks to its stability culture, Germany had a strong currency. At times, when the dollar was weak, the D-mark was even too strong, penalizing German exporters in favor of their European competitors. Germany was therefore keen to have France and …Read More

Can Mario Draghi Beat Deflation?

Guha, K., (2014), “Can Mario Draghi Beat Deflation?”, Bloomberg Opinion, 12 Φεβρουαρίου. The European Central Bank may soon have to roll out the heavy artillery, in the form of an asset purchase program similar to those in the U.S., U.K. and Japan, to fight the specter of deflation. But in a currency union with 18 different sovereign bonds, the tough question will be what to buy. The best solution: Purchase …Read More

The ECB’s Bridge Too Far

Mody A., (2014), “The ECB’s Bridge Too Far”, Project Syndicate, 11 Φεβρουαρίου. The German Constitutional Court’s recent decision to refer the complaint against the European Central Bank’s so-called “outright monetary transactions” to the European Court of Justice (ECJ) leaves the scheme’s fate uncertain. What is clear is that the economics behind OMT is flawed – and so is the politics. The OMT program arose in August 2012, when months of …Read More

Europhoria once again- should we view the recent fall in spreads and yields as a sign of confidence or as another overreaction?

Mody A., (2014), “Europhoria once again- should we view the recent fall in spreads and yields as a sign of confidence or as another overreaction?”  Bruegel Blog, 10 Φεβρουαρίου. Europhoria was rampant in the euro’s first decade. Just before the onset of the crisis, the yields paid by the soon-to-be distressed Greek, Irish, and Portuguese sovereigns were almost indistinguishable from the yields paid by the German sovereign. Then it all …Read More

Germany’s Pyrrhic Victory

Fratzscher, M., (2014), “Germany’s Pyrrhic Victory”, Project Syndicate, 10 Φεβρουαρίου. The German Constitutional Court has ruled against the European Central Bank’s pledge to buy potentially unlimited quantities of distressed eurozone countries’ government bonds, and has called on the European Court of Justice (ECJ) to confirm its decision. Until that happens, the “outright monetary transactions” (OMT) scheme is effectively dead, weakening the ECB’s ability to act as an effective and credible …Read More

Are Jobs and Growth Still Linked

Loungani, Pr., (2014), “Are Jobs and Growth Still Linked?”, iMFdirect, 7 Φεβρουαρίου. Over 200 million people are unemployed around the globe today, over a fifth of them in advanced economies. Unemployment rates in these economies shot up at the onset of the Great Recession and, five years later, remain very high. Some argue that this is to be expected given that the economy remains well below trend and press for …Read More

Outright Monetary Infractions

Sinn, H.-W., (2014), “Outright Monetary Infractions”, Project Syndicate, 10 Φεβρουαρίου. The German Constitutional Court has delivered its long-awaited decision on the European Central Bank’s “outright monetary transactions” program. Since its launch in 2012, the OMT program has allowed the ECB to buy, if necessary, unlimited amounts of troubled eurozone countries’ government bonds, provided the affected countries subscribe to the rules of Europe’s rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism.  

Tracking the causes of Eurozone external imbalances: New evidence

Sanchez, J., Varoudakis, Ar., (2014), “Tracking the causes of Eurozone external imbalances: New evidence”, 6 Φεβρουαρίου. External imbalances within the Eurozone grew substantially between the introduction of the euro in 1999 and the global financial crisis of 2008–09. Using new empirical evidence, this column argues that imbalances in the Eurozone periphery were mainly driven by a domestic demand boom, triggered by greater financial integration, with changes in the periphery’s competitiveness …Read More