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Workers in 7 EU countries worse off today than 8 years ago

European Trade Union Institute and European Trade Union Confederation, (2017), “Workers in 7 EU countries worse off today than 8 years ago”, 13 Μαρτίου Workers are still not feeling economic recovery: wages are lower now than they were eight years ago in seven EU member states, according to new research published today by the European Trade Union Institute (ETUI) and European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC). The research also shows that in …Read More

How Much Europe Can Europe Tolerate?

Rodrik, Dani, (2017), “How Much Europe Can Europe Tolerate?”, Project Syndicate, 14 Μαρτίου This month the European Union will celebrate the 60th anniversary of its founding treaty, the Treaty of Rome, which established the European Economic Community. There certainly is much to celebrate. After centuries of war, upheaval, and mass killings, Europe is peaceful and democratic. The EU has brought 11 former Soviet-bloc countries into its fold, successfully guiding their …Read More

Spain: Maintain reform momentum to enhance economic recovery and boost inclusive growth

OECD, (2017), “Spain: Maintain reform momentum to enhance economic recovery and boost inclusive growth”, 14 Μαρτίου The Spanish economy is enjoying a robust recovery from a deep recession, with structural reforms contributing to high growth rates and a gradual decline in unemployment. However, further measures to promote innovative business investment and improve skills are needed to both boost productivity and ensure that the benefits of growth reach all Spaniards, according …Read More

What happened to global banking after the crisis?

Schoenmaker, Dirk, (2017), “What happened to global banking after the crisis?”, Bruegel, 14 Μαρτίου The global financial crisis allegedly led to the end of global banking. However, we find that reports of the demise of global banking are premature. Among the global systemically important banks, we find that there has been a shift of business from the global European banks to the more domestic Asian banks, which are gradually increasing …Read More

Democracy Over Sovereignty in Europe

Reichlin, Lucrezia, (2017), “Democracy Over Sovereignty in Europe”, Project Syndicate, 14 Μαρτίου The future of the European Union may not officially be on the ballot in the upcoming elections in the Netherlands, France, Germany, and Italy, but the results will go a long way towards determining Europe’s fate. Anti-EU sentiment is more widespread than ever, as demonstrated by the feverish campaigns of right-wing populist insurgents like Geert Wilders in the Netherlands …Read More

Aftershocks of Monetary Unification : Hysteresis with a Financial Twist

Eichengreen, Barry J., Bayoumi, Tamim, (2017), “Aftershocks of Monetary Unification : Hysteresis with a Financial Twist”, IMF, 13 Μαρτίου Once upon a time, in the 1990s, it was widely agreed that neither Europe nor the United States was an optimum currency area, although moderating this concern was the finding that it was possible to distinguish a regional core and periphery (Bayoumi and Eichengreen, 1993). Revisiting these issues, we find that …Read More

The Case for Fiscal Policy to Support Structural Reforms

Banerji, Angana, Dabla-Norris, Era, Duval, Romain, Furceri, Davide, (2017), “The Case for Fiscal Policy to Support Structural Reforms”,IMF Direct, 13 Μαρτίου Many advanced countries need  structural reforms to make their economies more productive and raise long-term living standards.  Our new research shows that provided countries can afford it, fiscal policy, through spending or tax incentives, can help governments overcome some obstacles to the reforms, particularly in the early stages.   Structural …Read More

Public Debt Sustainability Under Uncertainty : An Invariant Set Approach

Rozenov, Rossen, (2017), “Public Debt Sustainability Under Uncertainty : An Invariant Set Approach”, IMF Working Paper, 13 Μαρτίου The question of what level of public debt a country can afford is central to fiscal policy. Vast literature is devoted to debt sustainability and an array of tools has been developed to guide assessment. A comprehensive review of previous work on the subject is beyond the scope of this paper and …Read More

Europe’s Bailout Misery

Ashworth, Marcus, (2017), “Europe’s Bailout Misery”, Bloomberg Gadfly, 13 Μαρτίου Europe’s tale of two rescue funds is morphing into a worrying saga. The outlook for the region’s original crisis bailout vehicle, the European Financial Stability Fund, to raise sufficient long-term funds to do its job is getting trickier. Despite last week being a pretty decent one for bond issuance, the EFSF stayed on the sidelines. Meanwhile, its more-popular sister fund, the European Stability …Read More

Europe starts to think the unthinkable: breaking up

Barber, Tony, (2017), “Europe starts to think the unthinkable: breaking up”, Financial Times, 2 Μαρτίου As an illustration of the EU’s doubts about its destiny, Jean-Claude Juncker’s white paper on Europe’s future fitted the bill nicely. Unveiled on Wednesday, the European Commission president’s document contained no fewer than five scenarios for the EU’s evolution up to 2025: “carrying on”, “nothing but the single market”, “those who want more do more”, “doing …Read More