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Fiscal Policy after the Crisis

Salto, Matteo, (2016), “Fiscal Policy after the Crisis”, European Commission, Discussion Paper 35, Ιούλιος This paper presents the proceedings of the annual Public Finance Workshop organised by the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs in Brussels on 19 January 2016 in relation with the publication of its Public Finance in EMU 2015 Report. After the double-dip recession between 2009 and 2013, growth is gradually returning to the EU and the euro area but it …Read More

Can Countries Rely on Foreign Saving for Investment and Economic Development?

Cavallo, Eduardo, Eichengreen, Barry, Panizza, Ugo, (2016), “Can Countries Rely on Foreign Saving for Investment and Economic Development?”, CEPR, Αύγουστος A surprisingly large number of countries have been able to finance a significant fraction of domestic investment using foreign finance for extended periods. While many of these episodes are in low-income countries where official finance is more important than private finance, this paper also identifies a number of episodes where a …Read More

Economic performance in two dimensions: How Europe beats the US

Gylfason, Thorvaldur, (2016), “Economic performance in two dimensions: How Europe beats the US”, Voxeu, 22 Αυγούστου One-dimensional indicators such as GNI per capita are known to be flawed measures of wellbeing. The Human Development Index (HDI) introduced dimensions of health and education alongside income. This column argues that an HDI adjusted for inequality and hours worked gives deeper insight into a country’s economic standing. Using this composite measure, the US falls …Read More

Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth : The Role of Credit Constraints

Choi,  Sangyup, Furceri, Davide, Huang, Yi, Loungani, Prakash, (2016), “Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth : The Role of Credit Constraints”, IMF, Working Paper No. 16/174, 16 Αυγούστου We show that an increase in aggregate uncertainty—measured by stock market volatility—reduces productivity growth more in industries that depend heavily on external finance. This effect is larger during recessions, when financing constraints are more likely to be binding, than during expansions. Our statistical method—a …Read More

Understanding Bank Payouts during the Crisis of 2007-2009

Cziraki, Peter, Laux, Christian, Lóránth, Gyöngyi, (2016), “Understanding Bank Payouts during the Crisis of 2007-2009”, CEPR, Αύγουστος We provide an extensive analysis of the payout policy of U.S. banks in 2007-2008 to identify the main drivers of their payout decisions. We use established models that relate dividends to fundamentals to provide a benchmark for the normal level of payouts. Based on these models, bank dividends appear excessive in 2007, but not …Read More

Quarterly National Accounts

OECD, (2016), “Quarterly National Accounts”, Volume 2016 Issue 1, 2 Αυγούστου The OECD’s Quarterly National Accounts contains a selection of the accounts most widely used by economic analysts: GDP by expenditure and by industry, gross fixed capital formation by asset, gross fixed capital formation by institutional sector, and components of disposable income are all shown at both current and constant prices. Saving and Net lending and GDP by income at current …Read More

A primer on helicopter money

Cecchetti, Stephen, Schoenholtz, Kim, (2016), “A primer on helicopter money”, Voxeu, 19 Αυγούστου Helicopter money is not just another version of unconventional monetary policy. Using simple central bank and government balance sheets, this column explains how helicopter money today is different from what Milton Friedman imagined back in 1969 – it is expansionary fiscal policy financed by central bank money. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Muellbauer, John, (2016), “Helicopter money and fiscal rules”, Voxeu, 10 …Read More

Sluggish Business Investment in the Euro Area: The Roles of Small and Medium Enterprises and Debt

Bluedorn, John C., Ebeke,  Christian, (2016), “Sluggish Business Investment in the Euro Area: The Roles of Small and Medium Enterprises and Debt”, iMF-direct, 4 Αυγούστου Small businesses could be the lifeblood of Europe’s economy, but their size and high debt are two of the factors holding back the investment recovery in the euro area. The solution partly lies in policies to help firms grow and reduce debt. Our new study, part …Read More

Explaining Non-Performing Loans in Greece: A Comparative Study on the Effects of Recession and Banking Practices

Monokroussos, Platon, Thomakos, Dimitrios D., Alexopoulos, Thomas A., (2016), “Explaining Non-Performing Loans in Greece: A Comparative Study on the Effects of Recession and Banking Practices”, LSE, Αύγουστος Using a new dataset of macroeconomic and banking-related variables we attempt to explain the evolution of “bad” loans in Greece over the period 2005-2015. Our findings suggest that the primary cause of the sharp increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) following the outbreak of the …Read More

The glass is still half-empty: Eurozone stability under threat of a ‘bad shock’

Micossi, Stefano, (2016), “The glass is still half-empty: Eurozone stability under threat of a ‘bad shock’”, Voxeu, 20 Αυγούστου Some economists are approaching a consensus that the Eurozone’s financial architecture is now resilient enough to withstand another shock similar to that of 2010-11. This column argues that such a view may be overly optimistic. Economic and financial instability persists in member states and the banking sector, and institutions to tackle a …Read More