Gros, D., (2013), “The European Banking Disunion”, Project Syndicate, 06 November.
The purpose of the euro was to create fully integrated financial markets; but, since the start of the global financial crisis in 2008, markets have been renationalizing. So the future of the eurozone depends crucially on whether that trend continues or Europe’s financial markets become fully integrated. But either outcome would be preferable to something in between – neither fish nor fowl. Unfortunately, that is where the eurozone appears to be headed.
The trend toward renationalization has been clear. Since the end of the credit boom in 2008, cross-border claims of banks based in the eurozone core (essentially Germany and its smaller neighbors) toward the eurozone periphery have plummeted from about €1.6 trillion ($2.2 trillion) to less than half that amount. (Part of the difference has ended up on the European Central Bank’s (ECB) balance sheet, but this cannot be a permanent solution.)
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Relevant Posts
- Gros, D., (2013), “The Myth of German Euroskepticism”, Project Syndicate, 09 October.
- Gros, D., (2013), “Has Austerity Failed in Europe?”, Project Syndicate, 14 August.
- Gros, Daniel, (2013), “Europe’s Zombie Banks”, Project Syndicate, 10 July.
- Ubide, A., (2013), “How to form a more perfect European Banking Union”, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Policy Brief, PB13-23, October.