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Stress testing the EU fiscal framework

Masten, Igor, Grdović Gnip, Ana, (2016), “Stress testing the EU fiscal framework”, VoxEU, 13 October

Fiscal policies in European Economic and Monetary Union states are being reinforced. This column argues that the cyclically adjusted budget balance will be an imprecise tool for measuring fiscal discipline, and structural deficit rules limits are too stringent. If the official methodology is used to trigger corrective fiscal contractions, it may increase macroeconomic instability.

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