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Why macropru can end up being procyclical

Danielsson, Jon, Macrae, Robert, Tsomocos, Dimitri, Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, (2016), “Why macropru can end up being procyclical”, VoxEu, 15 December

Discretionary macroprudential policies aim to be countercyclical by adjusting risk-taking across the financial cycle. This column argues that the opposite effect may happen in certain cases. Depending on how regulators measure risk and how they react, the eventual outcome may well be procyclical, with serious unintended consequences.

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