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Europe’s Losing Battle For Recovery

Andrews, N. (2014) “Europe’s Losing Battle For Recovery“, Evergreen Gavekal, Daily Global Update, 03 October.   The wobble in world markets continues, with stock indices across all time zones down steeply in recent sessions. Investors are not only realigning their exposure in anticipation of tighter liquidity conditions as the US Federal Reserve finally brings its asset purchases to a close later this month. After today’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting …Read More

Debt Rattle Oct 1 2014: Europe Is Crumbling Into Collapse

Ilargi Meijer, Ρ. (2014) “Debt Rattle Oct 1 2014: Europe Is Crumbling Into Collapse“, The Automatic Earth, 01 October.   For me, the quote of the day is this one: “If there’s a periphery of the eurozone’s periphery, that’s Naples.”. The city of Napoli hosts ECB boss Mario Draghi and the heads of Europe’s central banks this week in some very posh former Bourbon family royal palace, and the contradictions …Read More

Why Italy Will Not Make It

Orsi, R. (2014) “Why Italy Will Not Make It“, LSE EUROPP, Eurocrisis in the Press, 01 October.   Three articles by prestigious commentators (Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and Roger Bootle for The Telegraph, Wolfgang Münchau for Financial Times) have recently appeared in the financial press about the economic situation of Italy and the (in)stability of its national debt. The arguments and wording of these pieces deserve special attention, as their appearance may …Read More

World Economic Outlook (WEO) Legacies, Clouds, Uncertainties

IMF (2014) “World Economic Outlook (WEO) Legacies, Clouds, Uncertainties“, International Monetary Fund Publications, October.   Chapter 3: Is It Time for an Infrastructure Push? Τhe Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment This chapter finds that increased public infrastructure investment raises output in both the short and long term, particularly during periods of economic slack and when investment efficiency is high. This suggests that in countries with infrastructure needs, the time is …Read More

Re-discovering the Phillips curve

Andor, L. (2014) “Re-discovering the Phillips curve“, VoxEU Organisation, 01 October.   Negative real interest rates imply redistribution from savers to debtors. This column, by the EU Commissioner for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion, argues that such redistribution would benefit the whole economy. It would strengthen aggregate demand – including investment demand – at time when such a boost is clearly needed. As a contribution to the EU’s institutional transition, …Read More

Modelling sticky prices and the effect of monetary shocks

Alvarez, F., Le Bihan, H. & Lippi, F. (2014) “Modelling sticky prices and the effect of monetary shocks“, VoxEU Organisation, 30 September.   The assumption of sticky prices is central in understanding the effect of monetary policies on the economy. Yet, how to best model price stickiness is an unresolved issue. This column assesses a selection of models that are able to reproduce cross-sectional heterogeneity in the setting of prices. …Read More

The Eurozone’s Unresolved Situation – Can market forces prevail in the Eurozone?

Tavares, E. (2014) “The Eurozone’s Unresolved Situation – Can market forces prevail in the Eurozone?“, ΘZeroHedge, 28 September.   With another round of central bank intervention coming four plus years after the start of the Eurozone debt crisis, this is a question worth considering, at a time when the Southern Eurozone members – Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal, which collectively account for over 30% of the GDP of the early …Read More

Small business productivity and access to financing

Krishnan, K., Nandy, D. & Puri, M. (2014) “Small business productivity and access to financing“, VoxEU Organisation, 26 September.   The greater access to capital could increase small firms’ investment efficiency. Others argue that it may result in wasteful expenditures. This column discusses how small firms were affected by the Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994, which allowed interstate banking. The authors find an increase in the productivity …Read More

The 2014 Stability and Convergence Programmes: An Overview

European Commission (2014) “The 2014 Stability and Convergence Programmes: An Overview“, European Economy, Occasional Papers. 199. July 2014: Brussels.   This paper provides an overview of Member States’ 2014 Stability and Convergence Programmes (SCPs), with a focus on fiscal consolidation plans over 2013-2017. It serves as background for the examination of the SCPs against the requirements of the Stability and Growth Pact – both the corrective and the preventive arm – …Read More

What macroeconomic policies for the Eurozone?

Giavazzi, F. & Tabellini, G. (2014) “What macroeconomic policies for the Eurozone?“, VoxEU Organisation, 25 September.   In a recent column, the authors suggested coordinating monetary and fiscal expansions in the Eurozone through a money-financed temporary tax cut. The effectiveness of their proposal, however, has been questioned. In this column, the authors address some of the criticisms. They argue that the counter-cyclical fiscal policies adopted by the US and the …Read More