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Bridge financing for Greece – what are the options and should the UK be involved?

Ruparel, Raoul, (2015), “Bridge financing for Greece – what are the options and should the UK be involved?”, Open Europe blog, 14 July We discussed this briefly on our blog yesterday but a few more options/ideas have emerged since then to raise the €7bn to €12bn which Greece needs immediately. Importantly, as Eurogroup Chief Jeroen Dijsselbloem said this morning, all options come with “disadvantages, impossibilities and legal objections”. Relevant Posts …Read More

Investment-led Growth, Not More Cuts, Is The Only Way For Greece

Horn, Gustav, (2015), “Investment-led Growth, Not More Cuts, Is The Only Way For Greece”, Social Europe Journal, 15 July The agreement reached in Brussels yesterday between EU governments and Greece came only with a huge loss of mutual trust. It remains to be seen whether the deal in these circumstances will win majority political support. Economically, it would at least offer a small opportunity for a recovery in the Greek …Read More

Professor Blanchard Writes a Greek Tragedy

Mody, Ashoka, (20150, “Professor Blanchard Writes a Greek Tragedy”, Bruegel publications, 14 July Olivier Blanchard has, with his customary clarity and candor, addressed criticisms of the IMF’s role in Greece’s financial rescue. His is a personal statement. But in writing it, he also presents the IMF’s operating philosophy and mandate.  Blanchard’s statement will, therefore, not only shape our thinking on the evolution of the Greek crisis but it could define …Read More

Preserving the Greek financial sector: options for recap and assistance

Merler, Sylvia, (2015), “Preserving the Greek financial sector: options for recap and assistance”, Bruegel publications, 13 July The draft text discussed in the Eurogroup yesterday suggests that the potential package for Greece would include 10 to 25bn for the banking sector in order to address potential recapitalisation needs. Rumours this morning suggest the banks would then become part of a new asset fund and sold off to pay down debt. …Read More

Greece: Past Critiques and the Path Forward

Blanchard, Olivier, (2015), “Greece: Past Critiques and the Path Forward”, IMF Direct, 9 July All eyes are on Greece, as the parties involved continue to strive for a lasting deal, spurring vigorous debate and some sharp criticisms, including of the IMF.In this context, I thought some reflections on the main critiques could help clarify some key points of contention as well as shine a light on a possible way forward. …Read More

Lessons for Greece: Forcible currency conversions from 1982 to 2015

Reinhart, Carmen, (2015), “Lessons for Greece: Forcible currency conversions from 1982 to 2015”, Voxeu, 9 July Contrary to the intent of the designers of what was to be an irreversible currency union, Greece may well exit the Eurozone. This column argues that default does not inevitably trigger the introduction of a new currency (or the re-activation of an old one). However, if ‘de-euroisation’ is the end game, then a forcible …Read More

Europe’s Greek Failure

Gros, Daniel, (2015), “Europe’s Greek Failure”, Project Syndicate, 9 July Narratives matter, especially when they are intertwined with hard interests. As Greece and its creditors court catastrophe, we are getting a clear picture of how conflicting narratives can lead to a lose-lose result. The facts are indisputable. In early 2010, when the Greek government could no longer finance itself, it turned to its European partners and the International Monetary Fund …Read More

Joseph E. Stiglitz: The U.S. Must Save Greece

(2015), “Joseph E. Stiglitz: The U.S. Must Save Greece”, Time Journal, 9 Ιουλίου As the Greek saga continues, many have marveled at Germany’s chutzpah. It received, in real terms, the largest bailout and debt reduction in history andunconditional aid from the U.S. in the Marshall Plan. And yet it refuses even to discuss debt relief. Many, too, have marveled at how Germany has done so well in the propaganda game, …Read More

A Few Clarifications About Greece And ELA

Fazi, Thomas, (2015), “A Few Clarifications About Greece And ELA”, Social Europe Journal, 8 July A good part of the media (most notably in Germany) is framing the ECB’s emergency liquidity operations in Greece as ‘the ECB extending credits to Greek banks’. This is a huge misrepresentation of reality. The ECB is actually doing little more than what all central banks do (and, moreover, what it is legally bound to …Read More

Why sovereigns repay debts to external creditors and why it matters

Bulow, J. & Rogoff, K., (2015), “Why sovereigns repay debts to external creditors and why it matters”, Voxeu, 10 June. With Greece on the edge and Argentina confronting adverse legal decisions, thinking about sovereign default is a front-burner issue. This column discusses how recent experience casts light on relative merits of the two main conceptual approaches to modelling sovereign lending and default – the reputation approach and the punishment approach. …Read More