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How could the third Greek bailout change without the IMF?

Ruparel, Raoul, (2015), “How could the third Greek bailout change without the IMF?”, Open Europe blog, 31 July. The IMF has pulled further back from joining the third Greek bailout. How much difference might this make to the funding and nature of the bailout? Could it jeopardise it entirely? Open Europe’s Raoul Ruparel investigates. Relevant Posts Galbraith, James, (2015), “The IMF’s “Tough Choices” on Greece”, Project Syndicate, 16 June El-Erian, …Read More

The Greek bailout drama: Is this time different?

Pelagidis, Theodore, (2015), “The Greek bailout drama: Is this time different?”, Brookings Institute, 27 July Economists and analysts around the world, believing a Grexit almost inevitable just a month ago, now insist that the proposed deal between the Greek government and the creditors is only band aid for Greece’s economy and so, it will not work. Well, of course, after five years of depression, having the troika back in Athens to …Read More

Greece Isn’t a Morality Tale

Buchanan, Mark, (2015), “Greece Isn’t a Morality Tale”, Bloomberg View, 29 July One of the more troubling elements of the recent drama over Greece’s debt was the urge by many to see a deficiency of national character, rather than euro-zone economics, as the problem. Right-leaning opinion, not only in Germany but around the world, put the trouble down to Greek corruption and, worse, laziness:  The bad people of Greece retire too …Read More

The Lethal Deferral of Greek Debt Restructuring

Varoufakis, Yanis, (2015), “The Lethal Deferral of Greek Debt Restructuring”, Project Syndicate, 28 July The point of restructuring debt is to reduce the volume of new loans needed to salvage an insolvent entity. Creditors offer debt relief to get more value back and to extend as little new finance to the insolvent entity as possible. Remarkably, Greece’s creditors seem unable to appreciate this sound financial principle. Where Greek debt is …Read More

Escaping the Greek Debt Trap

Eichengreen, Barry, Evans, Gary, Αllen, Peter, (2015), “Escaping the Greek Debt Trap”, Βloomberg View,  27  July Greece’s debt is unsustainable. The International Monetary Fund has said so, and it’s hard to find anyone who disagrees. The Greek government sees structural reform without debt reduction as politically and economically toxic. The main governing party, Syriza, has made debt reduction a central plank of its electoral platform and will find it hard to hold on …Read More

Greece should prepare for Grexit and then not do it

Wyplosz, Charles, (2015), “Greece should prepare for Grexit and then not do it”, Voxeu, 20 July There is a high likelihood that Grexit will be back on the table. This column argues that Greece can strengthen its negotiating position if it is prepared for exit. Grexit remains a disastrous choice, but it has become the default option for Greece and its creditors. However, preparing for Grexit does not mean leaving the …Read More

Why debt sustains corruption in Greece and vice versa

Koulovatianos, Christos, Tsoukalas,  John, (2015), “Why debt sustains corruption in Greece and vice versa”, Voxeu, 20 July As numerous Greek MEPs opposed the Eurozone summit deal, implementation will require a broad coalition of political parties. This column argues that corruption in Greek politics will prevent the formation of such a coalition. The heavy debt service leads parties to invent extreme ways of responding to super-austerity and to strongly oppose direct reforms that …Read More

Greek Theme Park ‘Dettoland’: A Modest Anti-crisis Proposal

Rossman, Peter, (2015), “Greek Theme Park ‘Dettoland’: A Modest Anti-crisis Proposal”, Social Europe Journal, 20 July Where there’s a will there’s a way, Chancellor Merkel reminds us. Now that the IMF has revisited the numbers and (again) come up with the unsurprising conclusion that Greek debt is hugely unsustainable, it’s time to revisit the proposal for a Greek asset fund. Like the debt sustainability figures based on growth and budget …Read More

Ireland And Greece

Wren Lewis, Simon, (2015), “Ireland And Greece”, Social Europe Journal, 20 July Ireland is often regarded as a success story for Eurozone austerity, compared to the total failure of Greece. That can lead to nonsense like this: instead of whingeing, the Greeks should buckle under and get on with it as Ireland has done. An alternative narrative is to explain the different experience of the two economies by looking at structural …Read More

One Thing Europe Got Right in Greece’s Crisis

Gilbert, Mark, (2015), “One Thing Europe Got Right in Greece’s Crisis”, Bloomberg View, 16 July Greece’s slow-motion economic car crash is an ongoing debacle, but Europe’s success at ring-fencing the disaster has been remarkable. Judging from the currency market, the threat of contagion in Europe has steadily diminished month by month since March.Here’s a chart showing the monthly swings in the euro’s value against the dollar this year. Those trading ranges have …Read More