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Sovereign to corporate risk spillovers

Augustin, Patrick, Boustanifar, Hamid, Breckenfelder, Johannes, Schnitzler, Jan, (2016), “Sovereign to corporate risk spillovers”, Working Paper Series No. 1878, European Central Bank, Ιανουάριος Using the announcement of the first Greek bailout on April 11, 2010, we quantify significant spillover effects from sovereign to corporate credit risk in Europe. A ten percent increase in sovereign credit risk raises corporate credit risk on average by 1.1 percent after the bailout. These effects are more …Read More

2016 already puts its mark on the economic map of Europe

Emerson, Michael, (2016), “2016 already puts its mark on the economic map of Europe”, Ceps publications, 8 Ιανουαρίου The start of 2016 brought highly symbolic changes to the trade policy map of Europe between the EU- and Russian-led blocs, as the EU’s Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) with Ukraine entered into force provisionally, while Russia moved in precisely the opposite direction by scrapping its free trade agreement with …Read More

Effectiveness and Channels of Macroprudential Instruments : Lessons from the Euro Area

Tressel, Thierry, Sophia Zhang, Yuanyan, (2016), “Effectiveness and Channels of Macroprudential Instruments : Lessons from the Euro Area”, IMF Publications, 12 Ιανουαρίου The crisis has highlighted the importance of setting up macro-prudential oversight frameworks, having effective macro-prudential instruments in place to be called upon to mitigate growing financial imbalances as needed. We develop a new approach using the euro area Bank Lending Survey to assess the effectiveness of macro-prudential policies in containing credit …Read More

A financial side to a macroeconomic story: macro imbalances and financial integration in the euro area

Merler, Sylvia, (2016), “A financial side to a macroeconomic story: macro imbalances and financial integration in the euro area”, Bruegel publications, 18 Ιανουαρίου In a recent paper, I looked at the evolution of financial cycles in the euro area and at their link with capital flows. Here, I focus on how those findings inform our understanding of euro-area macroeconomic imbalances, revisiting the analysis of national savings and investment correlation. Σχετικές …Read More

The ECB and the Fed: A comparative narrative

Woong Kang, Dae, Ligthart, Nick, Mody, Ashoka, (2016), “The ECB and the Fed: A comparative narrative”, Voxeu, 19 Ιανουαρίου Although the Great Recession was viewed as a US problem, the Eurozone was affected by it from the start. This column compares the monetary policy responses to the Crisis by the Fed and the ECB. It argues that the US approach has been much more aggressive and proactive. The ECB failed to provide stimulus when needed, …Read More

Eurosystem Staff Macroeconomic Projections for the Euro Area

European Central Bank, (2015), “Eurosystem Staff Macroeconomic Projections for the Euro Area”, ECB Macroeconomic Projections, Δεκέμβριος The economic recovery in the euro area is expected to continue. Real GDP is projected to increase by 1.5% in 2015, 1.7% in 2016 and 1.9% in 2017. The overall outlook is broadly unchanged compared with the previous exercise, but the outlook for domestic demand is stronger, while that for foreign demand is weaker. Inflation is expected …Read More

Lost in assumptions: assessing the economic impact of migrants

Boot, Nuria, Huttl, Pia, (2016), “Lost in assumptions: assessing the economic impact of migrants”, Bruegel publications, 18 Ιανουαρίου What’s at stake: Many research institutes have estimated the economic impact of migrants, in particular regarding fiscal budgets and the labour market. These studies often give contradictory results. This blogs review looks at the different assumptions and approaches behind these results. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις Carcea Carpus, Mihaela, Ciriaci, Daria, Lorenzani, Dimitri, Pontuch, Peter, …Read More

The economic value of personal data for online platforms, firms and consumers

Liem, Cassandra, Petropoulos, Georgios, (2016), “The economic value of personal data for online platforms, firms and consumers”, 14 Ιανουαρίου Data is often referred to as the ‘oil of the twenty-first century’. This article reviews how personal data generate economic value for the three major parties of the digital market: online platforms (such as search engines, social networking sites, online videos, content sites) and their clients, companies and consumers. Σχετικές Αναρτήσεις …Read More

The Return of Public Investment

Rodrik, Dani, (2016), “The Return of Public Investment”, Project Syndicate, 13 Ιανουαρίου The idea that public investment in infrastructure – roads, dams, power plants, and so forth – is an indispensable driver of economic growth has always held powerful sway over the minds of policymakers in poor countries. It also lay behind early development assistance programs following World War II, when the World Bank and bilateral donors funneled resources to …Read More

Towards a global narrative on long-term real interest rates

Rachel, Łukasz,  D. Smith, Thomas, (2016), “Towards a global narrative on long-term real interest rates”, Voxeu, 15 Ιανουαρίου Many candidate explanations for the low level of real interest rates have been put forward. Less progress has been made on bringing together the different hypotheses into a unifying framework, on quantifying their relative importance and on predicting the future path for real interest rates. This column attempts to fill that gap, and suggests …Read More