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Assessing the Euro Area’s Shock-Absorption Capacity: Risk sharing, consumption smoothing and fiscal policy

Alcidi, Cinzia, Thirion, Gilles, (2016), “Assessing the Euro Area’s Shock-Absorption Capacity: Risk sharing, consumption smoothing and fiscal policy”, CEPS Special Report No.146, Σεπτέμβριος Based on a combination of quantitative analysis and a qualitative forward-looking approach, this paper assesses both the state of play and the future capacity of the EMU to respond and adapt to asymmetric shocks. The objective is to provide a basis upon which to gauge the potential value …Read More

The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017

Schwab, K., (2016), “The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017”, World Economic Forum, 28 Σεπτεμβρίου The Global Competitiveness Report 2016–2017 is being launched at a time of rising income inequality, mounting social and political tensions, and a general feeling of uncertainty about the future. Growth remains persistently low: commodity prices have fallen, as has trade; external imbalances are increasing; and government finances are stressed. However, it also comes during one of the …Read More

Why far right parties do well at times of crisis: the role of labour market institutions

Vlandas, Tim, Halikiopoulou, Daphne, (2016), “Why far right parties do well at times of crisis: the role of labour market institutions”, European Trade Union Institute, Ιούλιος The far right is on the rise in many western and eastern European countries. The 2008 Eurozone crisis is an obvious source of blame for this phenomenon; indeed, a large body of literature suggests that economic malaise prompts support for far right parties. This conventional wisdom, however, is …Read More

Tax Policy Reforms in the OECD 2016

OECD, (2016), “Tax Policy Reforms in the OECD 2016”, OECD Publishing, 22 Σεπτεμβρίου This is the first edition of “Tax Policy Reforms in the OECD”. This annual series of reports aims to track and compare tax policy developments over time across OECD countries. This year’s edition focuses on the tax reforms that were introduced in 2015 and identifies the most significant tax policy reforms as well as common tax policy …Read More

Public Investment Multipliers in EU Countries: Does the Efficiency of Public Sector Matter?

Papaioannou, Sotiris K., (2016), “Public Investment Multipliers in EU Countries: Does the Efficiency of Public Sector Matter?”, Centre of Planning and Economic Research, Φεβρουάριος This study examines whether differences in public sector efficiency are associated with diverging effects of public investment on growth. At first stage, we estimate public investment multipliers for each country of the European Union (EU). Their size varies considerably across countries. Then we construct measures of public …Read More

An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area

Jarociński, Marek, Lenza, Michele, (2016), “An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area”, ECB, Working Paper No 1966, Σεπτέμβριος Using a small Bayesian dynamic factor model of the euro area we estimate the deviations of output from its trend that are consistent with the behavior of inflation. We label these deviations the output gap. In order to pin-down the features of the model, we evaluate the accuracy of …Read More

Fragmented Politics and Public Debt

Crivelli, Ernesto, Gupta, Sanjeev, Mulas-Granados, Carlos, Correa-Caro, Carolina, (2016), “Fragmented Politics and Public Debt”, IMF, Working Paper No. 16/190, 19 Σεπτεμβρίου In this paper, we study the impact of fragmented politics on public debt—in particular, between two consecutive legislative elections. Using data for 92 advanced and developing countries during 1975-2015, we find a positive association between political fragmentation and public debt changes. Corruption magnifies the effects; with higher perceived corruption, political fragmentation …Read More

What Makes a Good ʽBad Bankʼ? The Irish, Spanish and German Experience

Cas, Stephanie Medina , Peresa, Irena, (2016), “What Makes a Good ʽBad Bankʼ? The Irish, Spanish and German Experience”, European Commission, Discussion Paper 036, Σεπτέμβριος This paper examines the experience of three asset management companies (AMCs) or ʽbad banksʼ established in the euro area following the 2008 global financial crisis. Specifically, it studies NAMA, Sareb and FMS Wertmanagement (FMS). These AMCs were set up to purchase growing nonperforming loans on banks’ …Read More

National Accounts of OECD Countries, Financial Accounts 2015

OECD, (2016), “National Accounts of OECD Countries, Financial Accounts 2015”, OECD Publishing, 2 Σεπτεμβρίου The National Accounts of OECD Countries, Financial Accounts includes financial transactions (both net acquisition of financial assets and net incurrence of liabilities), by institutional sector (non-financial corporations, financial corporations, general government, households and non-profit institutions serving households, total economy and rest of the world) and by financial operation. Country tables are expressed in national currency. Data …Read More

OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2016

OECD (2016), “OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2016”, OECD Publishing, 6 Σεπτεμβρίου The OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook provides regular updates on trends and developments associated with sovereign borrowing requirements, funding strategies, market infrastructure and debt levels from the perspective of public debt managers. The Outlook makes a policy distinction between funding strategy and borrowing requirements. The central government marketable gross borrowing needs, or requirements, are calculated on the basis of budget …Read More