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Facing up to uncertainty in official economic statistics

Manski, C. F. (2014) “Facing up to uncertainty in official economic statistics“, VoxEU Organisation, 21 Μαΐου.   Many economic statistics move markets when first released, and move them again when they are revised. This column suggests ways of measuring the transitory statistical uncertainty in estimates of official statistics based on incomplete data and the permanent statistical uncertainty stemming from survey non-response. Government agencies would be doing the public and policymakers …Read More

Resolution threats and bank discipline

Ignatowski, M. & Korte, J. (2014) “Resolution threats and bank discipline“, VoxEU Organisation, 20 Μαΐου.   Can a tightening in the bank resolution regime introduce more prudent bank behaviour? This column reviews some arguments for why this could be the case. It presents evidence linking changes in bank resolution regimes with bank behaviour. Tightening of US bank resolution significantly decreased the overall risk-taking of the most affected banks. This effect, …Read More

Europeanisation in Times of Crisis

Saurugger, S. (2014) “Europeanisation in Times of Crisis“, Political Studies Review, 12: 181–192.   The aim of this article is to analyse the strengths and weaknesses of Europeanisation studies when used to study periods of crisis. The conceptual consensus surrounding the definition of ‘Europeanisation’, understood as the impact of European integration at the domestic level (the so-called ‘top-down approach’), is put under pressure in a crisis situation, where the salience of …Read More

Ο πολιτικός πόλεμος στην Ε.Ε. Όταν τελειώσει η προεκλογική περίοδος στην Ε.Ε. θα ξεκινήσουν οι πραγματικές πολιτικές μάχες

Kelemen, R. D. & Menon, A. (2014) “Ο πολιτικός πόλεμος στην Ε.Ε. Όταν τελειώσει η προεκλογική περίοδος στην Ε.Ε. θα ξεκινήσουν οι πραγματικές πολιτικές μάχες“, Foreign Affairs: the Hellenic Edition, 19 Μαΐου.   Σιγοβράζει μια σημαντική μάχη που θα βάλει το Ευρωπαϊκό Κοινοβούλιο εναντίον τής Γερμανίδας καγκελαρίου Άνγκελα Μέρκελ και των συνεργατών της στις εθνικές πρωτεύουσες της Ευρώπης. Ο νικητής αυτής της μάχης θα κερδίσει το δικαίωμα να διαμορφώσει το …Read More

For economies, age is not just a number

Onder, H. & Pestieau, P. (2014) “For economies, age is not just a number“, VoxEU Organisation, 20 Μαΐου.   The world’s population is ageing, due to both increasing longevity and decreasing fertility. This column shows that the net effect of ageing on capital accumulation (and therefore growth) depends on which of these two factors dominates, and also on the structure of the pension system. Under a pension system with defined …Read More

Sources and legitimacy of financial liberalization

Burgoon, Β., Demetriades, P. & Underhill, G. R.D. (2012) “Sources and legitimacy of financial liberalization“, European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 28, Issue 2, June 2012, pp. 147-161.   This article seeks to clarify how we understand domestic and international sources of globalization and specifically how we explain financial liberalization across countries. The article also develops our understanding of the underlying legitimacy of financial liberalization. We debate e.g. Abiad and …Read More

How should the ECB enact Quantitative Easing? A proposal

Varoufakis, Y. (2014) “How should the ECB enact Quantitative Easing? A proposal“, Thoughts for the post-2008 World Blog, 19 Μαΐου.   The ECB has no alternative to enacting some form of Quantitative Easing (QE) in order to prevent deflationary expectations from setting in fully. Core inflation has already reached a level that, even according to Mr Draghi’s own pronouncements on 24th April, should have already triggered off QE. However, the ECB’s governing …Read More

Democracy causes economic development?

Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Robinson, A. J. & Restrepo, P. (2014) “Democracy causes economic development?“, VoxEU Organisation, 19 Μαΐου.   Many analysts view democracy as a neutral or negative factor for growth. This column discusses new evidence showing that democracy has a robust and sizable pro-growth effect. The central estimates suggest that a country that switches from non-democracy to democracy achieves about 20% higher GDP per capita over the subsequent …Read More

How unequal is the European Parliament’s representation?

Véron, N. (2014) “How unequal is the European Parliament’s representation?“, Bruegel Think Tank, 16 Μαΐου.   The European Parliament election of May 22-25, 2014 has several unprecedented features. It is the first election under the Lisbon Treaty. As a consequence, and for the first time, the main pan-European parties – including the center-right European Peoples’ Party (EPP) and the center-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D) – are fielding lead candidates for …Read More

Will voters turnout in the 2014 European parliamentary elections?

McDougall, O. & Mody, A. (2014) “Will voters turnout in the 2014 European parliamentary elections?”, Bruegel Think Tank, 16 Μαΐου.   The extent of voter turnout in the 2014 European Parliamentary (EP) election is widely viewed as a critical test for European democracy. Turnout in the EP elections has steadily declined over three decades from 62 percent in the first election in 1979 to 43 percent in the 2009 election. …Read More