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Changing trade patterns, unchanging European and global governance

O‘Neill, J. and Terzi, Al., (2014), “Changing trade patterns, unchanging European and global governance”, Bruegel, 25 Φεβρουαρίου. The world economy is going through its biggest transformation in a relatively short space time. There have been many explanations for this phenomenon but the unprecedented scale and pace of this change and, most crucially, its implications, still seems little understood. In turn, there has been little preparation for, or adjustment to, this …Read More

On German Public Opinion And Illusional ECB Power

Bibow, J., (2014), “On German Public Opinion And Illusional ECB Power”, Social Europe Journal, 24 Φεβρουαρίου. After taking a short breather in late January-early February, the markets now seem to be back in ‘happy mode’. Whether the news on the economic recovery is good or bad doesn’t really matter. The current convention is that growth acceleration is under way. That emerging markets had become key drivers of global growth was …Read More

The Eurozone’s Imperfect Banking Union

Greene, M., (2014), “The Eurozone’s Imperfect Banking Union”, Open Markets, 20 Φεβρουαρίου. The ECB is currently gearing up to look under the hood of Eurozone’s 128 largest banks in an asset quality review and stress test before taking over supervision of the biggest banks. There is immense political pressure on the ECB from national supervisors to not find any big capital holes in the banks. If big capital holes were …Read More

Euro Zone Crisis: Diagnosis and Likely Solutions

Ballabriga, F., (2014), “Euro Zone Crisis: Diagnosis and Likely Solutions”, ESADEgeo POSITION PAPER 35, Φεβρουάριος. This policy brief provides a short guiding tour to the euro zone crisis. It looks at the current  situation, the context conditioning the solutions to the situation, how we got here, and the possible way out. The latter section outlines a set of minimum steps required to make the euro sustainable. Southern euro countries are …Read More

Economic Policy Reforms 2014

OECD, (2014), “Economic Policy Reforms 2014”, Going for Growth Interim Report, Φεβρουάριος. Going for Growth is the OECD’s regular report on structural reforms in policy areas that have been identified as priorities to boost incomes in OECD and major non-OECD countries (Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia and South Africa). Policy priorities are updated every two years and presented in a full report, which includes individual country notes with detailed policy …Read More

Eurozone Crisis: Another Chapter in the Never-Ending Saga of Boom and Bust

Patel, Α., (2014), “Eurozone Crisis: Another Chapter in the Never-Ending Saga of Boom and Bust”, LSE Eurocrisis in the Press, 21 Φεβρουαρίου. The policy response to the euro crisis since 2008 has been an extremely protracted affair, set against the backdrop not only of containing financial and sovereign debt crises and managing the risks of financial contagion (more normally associated with emerging economies) but also of the possibility of the …Read More

The long haul: managing exit from financial assistance

Wolff, Β., Darvas, Z. Sapir, A., (2014), “The long haul: managing exit from financial assistance”, Bruegel, 20 Φεβρουαρίου. Countries can make a clean exit from financial assistance, or enter a new programme or a precautionary programme, depending on the sustainability of their public debt and their vulnerability to shocks. Ireland made a clean exit in December 2013, supported by significant budgetary and current-account adjustment and signs of economic recovery. But …Read More

Poking the Eurozone Bear

Granville, Br., (2014), “Poking the Eurozone Bear”, Project Syndicate, 21 Φεβρουαρίου. The conventional wisdom is that, when confronted by a bear, you should lie motionless until it loses interest (or assumes that you are dead) and leaves you alone. But there are different species of bear, with some more likely to be deterred by bold, purposeful action. The question is how to determine the right approach when terror incarnate is …Read More

Clarifying the debate about deflation concerns

Levy, M., (2014), “Clarifying the debate about deflation concerns”,VoxEU, 21 Φεβρουαρίου. A popular view among economic commentators is that rich countries face a serious risk of deflation, and should adopt aggressive macroeconomic stimulus policies to ward it off. This column argues that despite similar headline inflation rates, the US, Europe, and Japan in fact face very different macroeconomic conditions. In the US, much of the recent disinflation is attributable to …Read More

Global Prospects and Policy Challenges

IMF, (2014), “Global Prospects and Policy Challenges”, Meetings of G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors, 22–23 Φεβρουαρίου, Sydney, Australia. Global growth has strengthened as expected in recent months, largely driven by advanced economies, where easier financial market conditions and gradually improving consumer and business confidence have supported growth. While emerging economies have benefited from the stronger external demand, domestic demand has remained weaker than expected in many of them, …Read More