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Why a Grexit is more costly for Germany than a default inside the euro area – Contrary to the IFO institute, we conclude that German losses on both official and private claims would be much higher if Greece exits the euro

Darvas, Z. & Hüttl, P. (2015) “Why a Grexit is more costly for Germany than a default inside the euro area – Contrary to the IFO institute, we conclude that German losses on both official and private claims would be much higher if Greece exits the euro“, Bruegel Institute, 16 Ιανουαρίου.   A few days ago the influential IFO Institute published a short paper suggesting that a Greek default inside …Read More

Zoning out – Why leaving the euro would still be bad for both Greece and the currency area

Zoning out – Why leaving the euro would still be bad for both Greece and the currency area, The Economist, 17 Ιανουαρίου 2015.   In 2012 Greece held two elections which might have led to its exit from the euro zone. In the event, that was avoided—a good thing since the costs of a “Grexit” would almost certainly have outweighed any gains, not only for Greece but for the entire …Read More

How to reduce the Greek debt burden?

Darvas, Z. & Hüttl, P. (2015) “How to reduce the Greek debt burden? – There are options to reduce the net present value of Greek public debt servicing costs by more than 15 percent of GDP without incurring losses on creditors, Bruegel Institute Analyses, 09 Ιανουαρίου.   The Greek debt reduction issue has been put back on the table as the 25 January 2015 parliamentary snap elections are approaching. Already in …Read More

Debt relief for Greece is necessary to avoid a crisis in the Eurozone

De Grauwe, Ρ. (2015) “Debt relief for Greece is necessary to avoid a crisis in the Eurozone“, LSE EUROPP, 12 Ιανουαρίου.   On 25 January Greece will hold parliamentary elections. The elections have generated uncertainty in the Eurozone given the potential for the radical left party Syriza, which has called for a renegotiation of the country’s bailout conditions, to emerge as the largest party. Paul De Grauwe writes that even …Read More

Greece – two alternative views

Mitchell, B. (2014) “Greece – two alternative views“, Bill Mitchell Blog, Modern Monetary Theory… Macroeconomic Reality, 24 Δεκεμβρίου.   When I was in Europe recently, I had interesting discussions about the future of Italy, Greece and Spain with various people, particularly in relation to trying to understand the apparent dissonance between the strong support for the euro and the devastation that membership of the common currency has created in these …Read More

Greece election: opposition party’s main enemy will be time

Mason, P. (2014) “Greece election: opposition party’s main enemy will be time“, Channel 4 News, 21 Δεκεμβρίου.   There’s a quiz doing the rounds on Facebook about Greece’s radical left opposition party Syriza, called “Are You Syriza Enough?”. The last question is: “Do you think Syriza will succeed as a government?”. The choice of answers are not flattering to the far left party’s prospects:  No, No way, Haha No, or …Read More

Despite a looming political crisis, Greece is no longer the threat to the Eurozone that it was in 2012

Davison, R. (2014) “Despite a looming political crisis, Greece is no longer the threat to the Eurozone that it was in 2012“, LSE EUROPP, 22 Δεκεμβρίου.   The Greek parliament is due to hold a second round of voting on 23 December to elect the country’s next president, following an unsuccessful vote last week. Remy Davison writes that while the threat of a political crisis is very real, the situation …Read More

Απολογισμός μιας πενταετίας κρίσης: ΤΙΝΑ και ξεΤΙΝΑ

Λυμπεράκη, Α. & Τήνιος, Π. (2014) “Απολογισμός μιας πενταετίας κρίσης: ΤΙΝΑ και ξεΤΙΝΑ“, The Athens Review of Books – Αθηναϊκή Επιθεώρηση του Βιβλίου, 01 Δεκεμβρίου.   Από τι θα κριθούν και τι θα κρίνουν οι επόμενες εκλογές; Όσο και να προσπαθούν τα παραπολιτικά να μας πείσουν για συνωμοσίες και κρυφούς άσσους, οι εκλογές θα κριθούν από καθαρές απαντήσεις στα μεγάλα θέματα. Αυτά, δηλαδή, που αντιμετωπίζονται με μισόλογα και υπεκφυγές στον …Read More

How to climb a mountain with both hands tied

Pisani-Ferry, J. (2014) “How to climb a mountain with both hands tied“, VoxEU Organisation, 07 Νοεμβρίου.   A triple-dip recession in the Eurozone is now a distinct possibility. This column argues that additional monetary stimulus is unlikely to be effective, that the scope for further fiscal stimulus is limited, and that some structural reforms may actually hurt growth in the short run by adding to disinflationary pressures in a liquidity …Read More

Η πρόταση της εγγυημένης απασχόλησης για την Ελλάδα: Απαντήσεις σε παρερμηνείες και διαστρεβλώσεις

Αδάμ Σοφία, Αντωνοπούλου Ράνια & Παπαδημητρίου Δημήτρης (2014) “Η πρόταση της εγγυημένης απασχόλησης για την Ελλάδα: Απαντήσεις σε παρερμηνείες και διαστρεβλώσεις“, Κείμενο Πολιτικής Νο.7, Παρατηρητήριο Οικονομικών και Κοινωνικών Εξελίξεων, Ινστιτούτο Εργασίας ΓΣΕΕ (ΙΝΕ), Απρίλιος.   Το συγκεκριμένο κείμενο πολιτικής συνοψίζει τα βασικά συμπεράσματα της μελέτης “Ανταποκρινόμενοι στην Πρόκληση της Ανεργίας: Η Πρόταση της Εγγυημένης Απασχόλησης για την Ελλάδα“, που εκπόνησε το Levy Institute σε συνεργασία με το Παρατηρητήριο Κοινωνικών και …Read More