De Grauwe, P. & Ji, Y. (2014) “Disappearing government bond spreads in the eurozone – Back to normal?“, Economic Policy, CEPS Working Documents, 14 Μαΐου.
Since the announcement of the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) programme by Mario Draghi, President of the ECB, in 2012, the government bond spreads began a strong decline. This paper finds that most of this decline is due to the positive market sentiments that the OMT programme has triggered and is not related to underlying fundamentals, such as the debt-to-GDP ratios or the external debt position that have continued to increase in most countries. The authors even argue that the market’s euphoria may have gone too far in taking into account the same market fundamentals. They conclude with some thoughts about the future governance of the OMT programme.
Σχετικές αναρτήσεις:
- Bastian, J. (2014) “Greece’s return to capital markets: Why not try a diaspora bond first?“, macropolis.gr, 4 Μαρτίου.
- Mody A.,(2014) “Europhoria once again- should we view the recent fall in spreads and yields as a sign of confidence or as another overreaction?“, Bruegel Blog, 10 Φεβρουαρίου.
- Favero, C. & Missale, A. (2012) “Sovereign spreads in the eurozone: which prospects for a Eurobond?“, Economic Policy, Vol. 27, Issue 70, p.p. 231 – 273.