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A New Euro Crisis?

Dixon, H. (2014) “A New Euro Crisis?“, Reuters Breaking Views, 20 Οκτωβρίου.

 

The markets are right to worry about the euro zone, the epicentre of last week’s fright. Its three big economies -Germany, France and Italy- are, in their own ways, stuck.

There is, in theory, a grand bargain that might shift the malaise. This would involve deep structural reform by Berlin as well as Paris and Rome; quantitative easing by the European Central Bank to boost inflation; and some loosening of fiscal straitjackets.

But such a deal -hinted at by Mario Draghi, the ECB president, in his Jackson Hole speech in August- is unlikely to materialize soon, if at all.

In the meantime, the region is being battered by shocks from outside and within. The external shocks are: the slowdown of emerging economies, especially China; the row with Russia over Ukraine; the Ebola outbreak; and the war against Islamic State.

 

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