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Risks of Stagnation in the Euro Area

Lin, Huidan, (2016), “Risks of Stagnation in the Euro Area”, IMF Working Paper No. 16/9, 22 Ιανουαρίου

This paper discusses the risks of stagnation over the medium term in the euro area. It examines the consequences of longer-term growth trends that predate the crisis and the progress made in addressing the crisis legacies of high unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro area vulnerable to a negative shock that tips the economy into a prolonged slowdown.

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