Camacho, Máximo, Leiva-Leon, Danilo, Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, (2015), “Monetary policy expectations and aggregate EZ shocks”, Voxeu, 1 December
Today’s monetary policy effectiveness depends on expectations of future monetary policy. Shocks affect such expectations, but the nature of the shock matters. This column presents evidence that negative demand shocks lead markets to expect looser policy in the short run. Negative supply shocks lead to expectations of looser policy in the medium to long run. Unexpected expansions – from either the supply or demand side – have no significant influence on markets’ expectations of future monetary policy.
Relevant Posts
- Draghi, Mario, (2015), “Monetary Policy: Past, Present and Future”, Speech at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress, 20 November
- Orphanides, Athanasios, (2015), “Short-sighted monetary policy and fear of liftoff”, Voxeu, 11 November