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Rolling the Dice in Cyprus

Mody, Ashoka, (2013), “Rolling the Dice in Cyprus”,  www.project-syndicate.org, 21 March. The task was never going to be an easy one: impose losses worth about €5.8 billion ($7.5 billion) on lenders to the Cypriot government and depositors with the country’s banks. And now that effort has led Europe to its latest impasse. In marathon negotiations, the Cypriot government, under the supervision of the troika (the European Commission, the European Central …Read More

Russia to the Rescue? Why Moscow May Bail out Cyprus

Aslund, Anders, (2013), “Russia to the Rescue? Why Moscow May Bail out Cyprus”, The Peterson Institute for International Economics, 21 March. Suddenly, Russia has become a central player in the Cypriot financial crisis. On the very evening after the Cypriot parliament rejected a proposed levy on bank deposits that the Cypriot president had previously accepted as a condition for a bailout package of €10 billion, Finance Minister Michael Sarris flew …Read More

Cyprus May Be a Turning Point in the Eurozone Crisis

Elliott, Douglas, (2013), “Cyprus May Be a Turning Point in the Eurozone Crisis”, Brookings Institute, 20 March. One way or another, the situation is Cyprus likely marks a major turning point in the eurozone crisis. It could be the beginning of true disaster for the zone, eventually leading to a series of sovereign debt defaults and possible exits from the euro area. It could also be the point at which …Read More

Realism, austerity or demagogy? Evidence from Italy

Bovi, Maurizio, (2013), “Realism, austerity or demagogy? Evidence from Italy”, www.voxeu.org, 20 March. How do everyday Italians feel about their economic prospects? How are political reactions related to economic events? This column presents evidence suggesting that Italians are becoming disillusioned. Comparing Berlusconi’s and Monti’s resignation, sentiment was more positive after Belusconi’s. Rather than a test on Italian citizens’ realism or on their views on austerity, recent political elections should instead …Read More

Walking back from Cyprus

Gulati, Mitu, Buchheit, Lee C., (2013), “Walking back from Cyprus”, www.voxeu.org, 20 March. Eurozone leaders’ radical step of putting insured depositors in Cypriot banks in harm’s way was not their only option. This column argues that none of the alternatives were pleasant but some were less ominous.

Cyprus is different

Annunziata, Marco, (2013), “Cyprus is different”, www.voxeu.org, 20 March. The Cyprus rescue package has elicited sharp reactions. This column argues that a tax on deposits is logical given the limited options, but guaranteed deposits should be spared on fairness and systematic grounds; a 15% tax on big deposits would be enough. Contagion is unlikely since Cyprus is different. Italian and Spanish savers are already alert to surprises such as the …Read More

If Europe Doesn’t Stand Up

Bastasin, Carlo, (2013), “If Europe Doesn’t Stand Up”, Brookings Institute, 20 Μαρτίου. Like what happens to less intelligent creatures, there was also a sudden disavowel of paternityin the Cypriot mess. No one in Europe admits responsibility for the project of forced confiscation on all bank deposits, also the more modest ones. A proposal that, while necessary, will not survive to its temerity and is putting in danger the stability of …Read More

The case for policy change: Democratic legitimacy of EMU cannot be an afterthought in solving the crisis

 Underhill, Geoffrey, Blom, Jasper, (2013), “The case for policy change: Democratic legitimacy of EMU cannot be an afterthought in solving the crisis”,www.voxeu.org, 19 March. David Cameron’s promise of a referendum on British participation in the EU has re-ignited the debate about the EU’s democratic legitimacy, just as the struggle to overcome the crisis continues. This column argues that in order to both successfully resolve the crisis and maintain states’ ability …Read More

Europe’s Lost-and-Found Decade

Eichengreen, Barry, (2013), “Europe’s Lost-and-Found Decade”, www.project-syndicate.org, 19 March. Sentiment in European financial markets has turned. For the moment, the possibility of a Greek exit from the eurozone is off the table. If interest-rate spreads on Spanish and Italian government bonds are any guide, bondholders are no longer betting on a eurozone breakup. European stocks even rose in the week following last month’s inconclusive Italian elections. Investors evidently believe that …Read More

Striking the right balance? An uneventful summit despite mounting socio-political uncertainties – Post-Summit Analysis

Emmanouilidis, Janis A., (2013), “Striking the right balance? An uneventful summit despite mounting socio-political uncertainties – Post-Summit Analysis”, European Policy Centre, 18 March. It was not a summit that will enter the EU’s history books, and there were no new concrete additional measures to counter low economic growth and high (youth) unemployment. But the 14-15 March European Council did send out a subtle message that EU leaders – concerned about …Read More