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Η επικίνδυνη εμμονή της Γερμανίας με την αποταμίευση

King, S., (2013), “Η επικίνδυνη εμμονή της Γερμανίας με την αποταμίευση”, Η Ημερησία, 19 Οκτωβρίου. Οι περισσότερες χώρες της Ευρωζώνης έχουν ασπαστεί, ηθελημένα ή μη, τη γερμανική οικονομική φιλοσοφία: Σκληρή δουλειά, χαμηλός πληθωρισμός, ενισχυμένη ανταγωνιστικότητα και ιδανικά, πλεόνασμα στο ισοζύγιο τρεχουσών συναλλαγών. Το μοντέλο αυτό αντενδείκνυται για μια οικονομία με το μέγεθος της Γερμανίας, πόσο μάλλον για ολόκληρη την Ευρωζώνη. Οι υποστηρικτές του μοντέλου θεωρούν ότι ένα πλεόνασμα τρεχουσών συναλλαγών …Read More

Unemployment, labour-market flexibility and IMF advice: Moving beyond mantras

Blanchard, Ο., Jaumotte, F. and Loungani, P., (2013), “Unemployment, labour-market flexibility and IMF advice: Moving beyond mantras”, VoxEU, 18 Οκτωβρίου. The state of labour markets in advanced economies remains dismal despite recent signs of growth. This column explains the IMF’s logic behind the advice it provided on labour markets during the Great Recession. It argues that flexibility is crucial both at the micro level, i.e. on worker reallocation, and at …Read More

In Praise of Debt Ceilings

Sinn, H.W., (2013), “In Praise of Debt Ceilings”, Project Syndicate, 17 Οκτωβρίου. The wrangling about raising the US government’s borrowing limit – now thankfully over, at least for a few months – underscores the hazards posed by excessive state indebtedness. Governments nowadays are essentially running gigantic redistribution machines that steer funds from taxpayers to transfer recipients and other beneficiaries of public expenditure. The latter permanently ask for more, while the …Read More

Sovereigns versus banks: Crises, causes and consequences

Jordà,O., Schularick, M. and Taylor, A., (2013), “Sovereigns versus banks: Crises, causes and consequences”, VoxEU, 18 Οκτωβρίου. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, few would dispute the risks of excessive borrowing. But which debts should one worry about – public or private? This column presents new research on the interplay of public and private debts since 1870 in 17 advanced economies. History demonstrates that excessive private-sector borrowing plays …Read More

Ο δρόμος για το Δουβλίνο ξεκινά από εδώ

Παγουλάτος, Γ., (2013), “Ο δρόμος για το Δουβλίνο ξεκινά από εδώ”, Η Καθημερινή, 13 Οκτωβρίου. Αν θέλαμε να φτιάξουμε την οικονομία μας, η κρίση του 2009-10 δεν θα ήταν το καλύτερο σημείο για να ξεκινήσουμε. Γιατί ήταν μια κρίση ανεπάρκειας των θεσμών και κανόνων της Ευρωζώνης – ενώ στην Ελλάδα χρειαζόμαστε περισσότερη Ευρώπη και καλύτερη εφαρμογή των κανόνων της. Γιατί ήταν μια κρίση της παγκοσμιοποίησης – ενώ στην Ελλάδα χρειαζόμαστε …Read More

Bad and Good News on Euro Area Inflation

Watt, A., (2013), “Bad and Good News on Euro Area Inflation”, Social Europe Journal, 16 Οκτωβρίου. The latest euro area monthly inflation numbers are out and manage to give cause for both gloom and cheer. First the bad news: inflation is too low. The euro area average figure of just 1.1% is a cause for concern because it is so low – only a little over half what the ECB …Read More

The Return of Europe’s Debt Crisis

Das, S., (2013), “The Return of Europe’s Debt Crisis”, EconoMonitor, 16 Οκτωβρίου. Since mid-2012, the European financial crisis has been in remission, with the symptoms of the underlying disease temporarily suppressed. As treatment is discontinued and drugs lose efficacy, there is a high probability of a relapse. Taking the Waters… A combination of austerity programs, debt write-downs, the European Central Bank’s (“ECB”) commitment to “do whatever it takes” to preserve …Read More

Tax policy in (and for) hard times

Kean, M., (2013), “Tax policy in (and for) hard times”, VoxEU, 16 Οκτωβρίου. Tax policy, like everything else, has been through tough times since the onset of the crisis. First, tax policy was to stimulate the economy (Heady 2011). Now it is to help consolidate the fiscal position – always with considerable urgency and all in the midst of public anger and disquiet. What state has all this left our …Read More

The Periphery Six

Wright, T., (2013), “The Periphery Six”, Project Syndicate, 14 Οκτωβρίου. Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain share a problem. With massive debt, no control over monetary policy, and no leeway for fiscal stimulus, they appear headed for a lost decade of high unemployment and low GDP growth. Such a path would drain the political establishment of legitimacy and prevent a real recovery in Europe. With structural reforms having proved …Read More

The IMF and the legacy of the euro crisis

Schadler, S., (2013), “The IMF and the legacy of the euro crisis”, VoxEU, 15 Οκτωβρίου. The IMF loans to Greece, Ireland and Portugal are considered controversial by some analysts. This column argues that these loans – granted without having agreed on convincing paths to manageable debt levels – constituted a substantial departure from IMF principles. The situation is costly for Europe and, having now permanently changed the principles guiding large …Read More