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Remain Calm: Europe Is Still on Track

Kirkegaard, Jacob, (2013), “Remain Calm: Europe Is Still on Track” , The Peterson Institute for International Economics, 17 April. European short-term economic growth prospects remain weak because of rampant fiscal consolidation, private sector deleveraging, and the temporary unsettling effects of structural reforms. But European leaders continue to take important and constructive decisions on bailouts and the banking union, suggesting that recovery will eventually get on track. At least three such …Read More

Are Germans really poorer than Spaniards, Italians and Greeks?

De Grauwe,  Paul , Ji, Yuemei, “Are Germans really poorer than Spaniards, Italians and Greeks?”, www.voxeu.org, 16 April. A recent ECB household-wealth survey was interpreted by the media as evidence that poor Germans shouldn’t have to pay for southern Europe. This column takes a look at the numbers. Whilst it’s true that median German households are poor compared to their southern European counterparts, Germany itself is wealthy. Importantly, this wealth …Read More

Europe’s growth problem (and what to do about it)

Darvas, Zsolt, Pisani-Ferry, Jean and Wolff, Guntram, (2013), “Europe’s growth problem (and what to do about it)”, Bruegel – The Brussels-based think tank, 12 April. The issue: The European Union’s pre-crisis growth performance was disappointing enough, but the performance has been even more dismal since the onset of the crisis. Weak growth is undermining private and public deleveraging,and is fuelling continued banking fragility. Persistently high unemployment is eroding skills, discouraging …Read More

Who’s next in line in the eurozone crisis? Portugal and Slovenia are the prime candidates

Open Europe Team, (2013), “Who’s next in line in the eurozone crisis? Portugal and Slovenia are the prime candidates”, Open Europe, 11 April. The troubles in Cyprus have set off a new examination of the health of the eurozone, with a particular focus on which country might be next in line for a bailout and the extent to which shareholders and depositors will take losses when banks fail (bail-ins). Much …Read More

Europe poised between union and hegemony

Carras, Costas, (2013), “Europe poised between union and hegemony”, Open Democracy – Free Thinking for the World. French and German overriding of the European Commission over the Stability Pact can be seen, ten years later, to have been disastrous. A vision more powerful, more engaging, more profound than “common interest” is now required if Europe is to survive, and divided Cyprus is a test case.

Time Will Tell: The EFSF, the ESM and the Euro Crisis

Gocaj, Ledina, Meunier, Sophie, (2013), “Time Will Tell: The EFSF, the ESM and the Euro Crisis”, Journal of European Integration, Vol.35, Issue 3, p.p. 239-253 The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), a slim and temporary bailout fund created by the European Union in May 2010 to quell a growing sovereign debt crisis in Europe, became the foundation for a permanent, more powerful institution, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), adopted in …Read More

Tough Love: How the ECB’s Monetary Financing Prohibition Pusher Deeper Euro Area Integration

Yiangou, Jonathan, O’keeffe, Micheal, Glockler Gabriel, (2013), “Tough Love: How the ECB’s Monetary Financing Prohibition Pusher Deeper Euro Area Integration”, Journal of European Integration, Vol. 35, Issue 3, p.p. 223-237 This paper analyses the underlying dynamics of institutional change in economic governance in EMU. We show that the crisis revealed significant gaps between the intentions of the designers of EMU and the observed outcome. Building on the path dependence literature …Read More

Kichking the Can Down the Road to More Europe? Salvaging the Euro and the Future of European Economic Governance

Mezn, George, Smith, Mitchell P., (2013), “Kichking the Can Down the Road to More Europe? Salvaging the Euro and the Future of European Economic Governance”, Journal of European Integration, Vol. 35, Issue 3, p.p. 195-206 Recent assessments of the nature of the eurozone’s problems, their origins, and a policy choices and likely outcomes inform our understanding of the crisis and explain its persistence. These accounts detail weaknesses in design of …Read More

Trends in European real exchange rates

Berka, Martin, Devereux, Michael B., (2013), “Trends in European real exchange rates” , Economic Policy, Vol. 28, Issue 74, p.p. 193-242. We study a newly created panel data set of relative prices for a large number of consumer goods among 31 European countries over a 15-year period. The data set includes eurozone members both before and after the inception of the euro, floating exchange rate countries of Western Europe, and …Read More

On the Franco-German Euro Contradiction and Ultimate Euro Battleground

Bibow, Jorg, (2013), “On the Franco-German Euro Contradiction and Ultimate Euro Battleground” , Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, Working Paper, N.762. Highlighting that France and Germany held largely contradicting hopes and aspirations for Europe’s common currency, this paper analyzes how the resulting euro contradiction conditioned the ongoing euro crisis as well as current strategies to resolve it. While Germany generally prevailed in hammering out the design of the euro policy …Read More